Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-09-18 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

291

Total Found

187

Shown

187

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
51	Drake Baldwin	3/3	ATL @ HOU	DH	Peter Lambert LHB vs RHP ERA 3.70	Hits	1.5	+240	70.6	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	2	ATL @ HOU 8:10 PM ET Final W
52	Jhonny Pereda ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	SEA @ COL	C	Gabriel Hughes RHB vs RHP ERA 6.33	Hits	1.5	+240	70.6	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	N/A	SEA @ COL 8:10 PM ET Final
53	Josh Naylor	3/3	SEA @ COL	1B	Gabriel Hughes LHB vs RHP ERA 6.33	Hits	1.5	+240	70.6	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	1	SEA @ COL 8:10 PM ET Final L
54	Kevin McGonigle	3/3	DET @ CWS	3B	TBD	Hits	1.5	+240	70.6	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	2	DET @ CHW 7:40 PM ET Final W
55	Samad Taylor	3/3	MIA @ SD	LF	Tyler Phillips RHB vs RHP ERA 3.45	Hits	1.5	+240	70.6	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	2	MIA @ SD 9:40 PM ET Final W
56	Owen Caissie ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIA @ SD		Nick Pivetta LHB vs RHP Weak 12% ERA 3.30	Runs Batted In	0.5	+234	70.1	0, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	29.9%	36.7%	N/A	MIA @ SD 9:40 PM ET Final
57	Brett Bateman	3/3	TOR @ TEX	RF	Kumar Rocker LHB vs RHP ERA 4.47	Hits	1.5	+230	69.7	2, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	30.3%	36.4%	0	TOR @ TEX 8:05 PM ET Final L
58	Daylen Lile	3/3	WSH @ STL		Kyle Leahy LHB vs RHP Weak 21% ERA 3.65	Runs Batted In	0.5	+226	69.3	0, 3, 1	2/3 66.7%	30.7%	36.0%	1	WSH @ STL 8:15 PM ET Final W
59	Brett Harris	3/3	SF @ LAD	1B	Tyler Glasnow RHB vs RHP Ace 94% ERA 3.51	Hits	0.5	+220	68.7	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	31.3%	35.4%	1	SF @ LAD 10:15 PM ET Final W
60	Chase Meidroth	3/3	DET @ CWS	2B	Andrew Sears RHB vs LHP ERA 5.19	Hits	1.5	+220	68.7	1, 3, 2	2/3 66.7%	31.3%	35.4%	0	DET @ CHW 7:40 PM ET Final L
61	Cody Bellinger	3/3	NYY @ ARI	LF	TBD	Hits	1.5	+220	68.7	3, 3, 0	2/3 66.7%	31.3%	35.4%	1	NYY @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final L
62	Pete Crow-Armstrong	3/3	CHC @ CIN	CF	Chase Burns LHB vs RHP Average 65% ERA 2.86	Hits	1.5	+220	68.7	3, 0, 4	2/3 66.7%	31.3%	35.4%	0	CHC @ CIN 6:40 PM ET Final L
63	TJ Rumfield ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ COL	1B	Bryan Woo LHB vs RHP Average 47% ERA 3.92	Hits	1.5	+220	68.7	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	31.3%	35.4%	1	SEA @ COL 8:10 PM ET Final L
64	Freddie Freeman	3/3	SF @ LAD	1B	Cesar Perdomo LHB vs LHP ERA 3.72	Hits	0.5	+200	66.7	2, 0, 3	2/3 66.7%	33.3%	33.3%	0	SF @ LAD 10:15 PM ET Final L
65	Gabriel Moreno	3/3	NYY @ ARI	DH	Gerrit Cole RHB vs RHP ERA 3.63	Hits	1.5	+200	66.7	3, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	33.3%	33.3%	0	NYY @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final L
66	Rafael Devers ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	SF @ LAD		Tyler Glasnow LHB vs RHP Ace 94% ERA 3.51	Runs Batted In	0.5	+191	65.6	2, 4, 0	2/3 66.7%	34.4%	32.3%	N/A	SF @ LAD 10:15 PM ET Final
67	Esmerlyn Valdez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	KC @ PIT		Randy Dobnak RHB vs RHP ERA 3.08	Runs Batted In	0.5	+189	65.4	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	34.6%	32.1%	N/A	KC @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final
68	Austin Hays ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIA @ SD	DH	Tyler Phillips RHB vs RHP ERA 3.45	Hits	1.5	+185	64.9	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	35.1%	31.6%	N/A	MIA @ SD 9:40 PM ET Final
69	Dustin Harris	3/3	MIA @ SD	LF	Tyler Phillips LHB vs RHP ERA 3.45	Hits	1.5	+180	64.3	3, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	35.7%	31.0%	2	MIA @ SD 9:40 PM ET Final W
70	Nick Fortes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ TB	C	Ranger Suarez RHB vs LHP Average 43% ERA 3.27	Runs Batted In	0.5	+180	64.3	1, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	35.7%	31.0%	0	BOS @ TB 7:10 PM ET Final L
71	Enrique Hernández ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	SF @ LAD	3B	Cesar Perdomo RHB vs LHP ERA 3.72	Hits	0.5	+165	62.3	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	37.7%	28.9%	0	SF @ LAD 10:15 PM ET Final L
72	Will Smith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ LAD	C	Cesar Perdomo RHB vs LHP ERA 3.72	Hits	0.5	+160	61.5	2, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	38.5%	28.2%	1	SF @ LAD 10:15 PM ET Final W
73	Nick Morabito ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PHI @ NYM		Tim Mayza RHB vs LHP ERA 3.46	Hits	0.5	+103	50.7	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	49.3%	17.4%	N/A	PHI @ NYM 7:10 PM ET Final
74	Juan Brito ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ CIN	3B	Clay Holmes S vs RHP Good 72% ERA 3.25	Hits	0.5	+100	50.0	0, 3, 1	2/3 66.7%	50.0%	16.7%	N/A	CHC @ CIN 6:40 PM ET Final
75	Grant McCray	3/3	SF @ LAD	PR	Tyler Glasnow LHB vs RHP Ace 94% ERA 3.51	Hits	0.5	-105	48.8	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	51.2%	15.4%	0	SF @ LAD 10:15 PM ET Final L

Showing 51–75 of 187 plays

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