Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-09-18 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

291

Total Found

187

Shown

187

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
76	Austin Hedges ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	OAK @ CLE	C	Mason Barnett RHB vs RHP ERA 7.16	Hits	0.5	-106	48.5	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	51.5%	15.2%	N/A	ATH @ CLE 7:10 PM ET Final
77	TJ Friedl	3/3	CHC @ CIN		Clay Holmes LHB vs RHP Good 72% ERA 3.25	Hits	0.5	-110	47.6	2, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	52.4%	14.3%	0	CHC @ CIN 6:40 PM ET Final L
78	Alan Roden ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIN @ LAA	LF	Grayson Rodriguez LHB vs RHP ERA 5.96	Hits	0.5	-115	46.5	1, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	53.5%	13.2%	N/A	MIN @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final
79	Brandon Valenzuela ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TOR @ TEX	C	Kumar Rocker S vs RHP ERA 4.47	Hits	0.5	-115	46.5	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	53.5%	13.2%	N/A	TOR @ TEX 8:05 PM ET Final
80	Gabriel Arias ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CHC @ CIN	PH	Chase Burns RHB vs RHP Average 65% ERA 2.86	Hits	0.5	-115	46.5	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	53.5%	13.2%	N/A	CHC @ CIN 6:40 PM ET Final
81	Elias Diaz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ TEX	PH	Dylan Cease RHB vs RHP Good 71% ERA 2.40	Hits	0.5	-118	45.9	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	54.1%	12.5%	0	TOR @ TEX 8:05 PM ET Final L
82	Logan O'Hoppe ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	TOR @ TEX		Dylan Cease RHB vs RHP Good 71% ERA 2.40	Hits	0.5	-120	45.5	1, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	54.5%	12.1%	N/A	TOR @ TEX 8:05 PM ET Final
83	Ethan Salas ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ SD	C	Tyler Phillips LHB vs RHP ERA 3.45	Hits	0.5	-122	45.0	2, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	55.0%	11.7%	0	MIA @ SD 9:40 PM ET Final L
84	Eli White ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	BOS @ TB		Ian Seymour RHB vs LHP ERA 4.38	Hits	0.5	-125	44.4	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	55.6%	11.1%	N/A	BOS @ TB 7:10 PM ET Final
85	John Rave	3/3	KC @ PIT	CF	Paul Skenes LHB vs RHP Weak 25% ERA 3.91	Hits	0.5	-135	42.6	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	57.4%	9.2%	1	KC @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final W
86	Keibert Ruiz ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	WSH @ STL		Kyle Leahy S vs RHP Weak 21% ERA 3.65	Hits	0.5	-138	42.0	0, 1, 3	2/3 66.7%	58.0%	8.7%	N/A	WSH @ STL 8:15 PM ET Final
87	Esmerlyn Valdez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	KC @ PIT		Randy Dobnak RHB vs RHP ERA 3.08	Hits	0.5	-140	41.7	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	58.3%	8.3%	N/A	KC @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final
88	Yohel Pozo ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIL @ BAL		Dustin May RHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 4.61	Hits	0.5	-143	41.2	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	58.8%	7.8%	N/A	MIL @ BAL 7:05 PM ET Final/10
89	Oneil Cruz	3/3	KC @ PIT	CF	Randy Dobnak LHB vs RHP ERA 3.08	Runs Batted In	1.5	+1000	40.9	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	9.1%	24.2%	0	KC @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final L
90	Brandon Lowe	3/3	KC @ PIT	2B	Randy Dobnak LHB vs RHP ERA 3.08	Runs Batted In	1.5	+900	40.0	1, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	10.0%	23.3%	2	KC @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final W
91	Jose Caballero ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ ARI	3B	TBD	Runs Batted In	1.5	+900	40.0	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	10.0%	23.3%	N/A	NYY @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final
92	Pavin Smith	3/3	NYY @ ARI	DH	Gerrit Cole LHB vs RHP ERA 3.63	Hits	0.5	-150	40.0	2, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	60.0%	6.7%	0	NYY @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final L
93	Victor Caratini ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ LAA	C	Grayson Rodriguez S vs RHP ERA 5.96	Hits	0.5	-151	39.8	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	60.2%	6.5%	N/A	MIN @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final
94	Rafael Devers ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	SF @ LAD		Tyler Glasnow LHB vs RHP Ace 94% ERA 3.51	Hits	0.5	-157	38.9	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	61.1%	5.6%	N/A	SF @ LAD 10:15 PM ET Final
95	Andrew Knizner ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ LAD	C	Tyler Glasnow RHB vs RHP Ace 94% ERA 3.51	Runs Batted In	1.5	+800	38.9	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	11.1%	22.2%	0	SF @ LAD 10:15 PM ET Final L
96	Jeremiah Jackson	3/3	MIL @ BAL		Dustin May RHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 4.61	Runs Batted In	1.5	+800	38.9	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	11.1%	22.2%	0	MIL @ BAL 7:05 PM ET Final/10 L
97	Joc Pederson ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	TOR @ TEX		Dylan Cease LHB vs RHP Good 71% ERA 2.40	Hits	0.5	-159	38.6	0, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	61.4%	5.3%	N/A	TOR @ TEX 8:05 PM ET Final
98	Agustin Ramirez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ SD	DH	Nick Pivetta RHB vs RHP Weak 12% ERA 3.30	Hits	0.5	-160	38.5	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	61.5%	5.1%	3	MIA @ SD 9:40 PM ET Final W
99	Chandler Simpson	3/3	BOS @ TB	LF	Ranger Suarez LHB vs LHP Average 43% ERA 3.27	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	37.5	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	12.5%	20.8%	0	BOS @ TB 7:10 PM ET Final L
100	Kyle Karros	3/3	SEA @ COL	3B	Bryan Woo RHB vs RHP Average 47% ERA 3.92	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	37.5	1, 2, 0	1/3 33.3%	12.5%	20.8%	0	SEA @ COL 8:10 PM ET Final L

Showing 76–100 of 187 plays

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