Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-09-18 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

291

Total Found

187

Shown

187

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
101	Jazz Chisholm Jr. ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	NYY @ ARI	PH	TBD	Hits	0.5	-167	37.5	2, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	62.5%	4.1%	N/A	NYY @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final
102	Brett Sullivan ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SEA @ COL	C	Bryan Woo LHB vs RHP Average 47% ERA 3.92	Hits	0.5	-174	36.5	2, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	63.5%	3.2%	N/A	SEA @ COL 8:10 PM ET Final
103	Bo Naylor ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIL @ BAL		Cade Povich LHB vs LHP ERA 4.38	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	35.7	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	14.3%	19.0%	N/A	MIL @ BAL 7:05 PM ET Final/10
104	Corey Seager	3/3	TOR @ TEX	SS	Dylan Cease LHB vs RHP Good 71% ERA 2.40	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	35.7	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	14.3%	19.0%	1	TOR @ TEX 8:05 PM ET Final L
105	Ildemaro Vargas ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ ARI	PH	Gerrit Cole S vs RHP ERA 3.63	Hits	0.5	-185	35.1	0, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	64.9%	1.8%	0	NYY @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final L
106	Christian Encarnacion-Strand	3/3	MIL @ BAL		Dustin May RHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 4.61	Runs Batted In	1.5	+550	34.6	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	15.4%	17.9%	1	MIL @ BAL 7:05 PM ET Final/10 L
107	Danny Jansen ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ TEX	C	Dylan Cease RHB vs RHP Good 71% ERA 2.40	Hits	1.5	+550	34.6	2, 1, 1	1/3 33.3%	15.4%	17.9%	N/A	TOR @ TEX 8:05 PM ET Final
108	Jonathan Aranda ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ TB	1B	Ranger Suarez LHB vs LHP Average 43% ERA 3.27	Runs Batted In	1.5	+550	34.6	1, 0, 3	1/3 33.3%	15.4%	17.9%	1	BOS @ TB 7:10 PM ET Final L
109	Leo Rivas ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	SEA @ COL	SS	Gabriel Hughes S vs RHP ERA 6.33	Hits	1.5	+550	34.6	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	15.4%	17.9%	N/A	SEA @ COL 8:10 PM ET Final
110	Luis Robert Jr. ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIL @ BAL		Dustin May RHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 4.61	Runs Batted In	1.5	+550	34.6	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	15.4%	17.9%	N/A	MIL @ BAL 7:05 PM ET Final/10
111	Samad Taylor	3/3	MIA @ SD	LF	Tyler Phillips RHB vs RHP ERA 3.45	Runs Batted In	1.5	+550	34.6	1, 2, 0	1/3 33.3%	15.4%	17.9%	1	MIA @ SD 9:40 PM ET Final L
112	Alejandro Kirk ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ TEX	C	Kumar Rocker RHB vs RHP ERA 4.47	Runs Batted In	1.5	+500	33.3	1, 1, 3	1/3 33.3%	16.7%	16.7%	0	TOR @ TEX 8:05 PM ET Final L
113	Colton Cowser	3/3	MIL @ BAL		Dustin May LHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 4.61	Hits	1.5	+500	33.3	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	16.7%	16.7%	2	MIL @ BAL 7:05 PM ET Final/10 W
114	Shea Langeliers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ CLE		Daniel Espino RHB vs RHP ERA 4.73	Runs Batted In	1.5	+500	33.3	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	16.7%	16.7%	0	ATH @ CLE 7:10 PM ET Final L
115	Andrew Vaughn	3/3	MIL @ BAL	PH	Cade Povich RHB vs LHP ERA 4.38	Hits	0.5	-200	33.3	0, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	66.7%	0.0%	0	MIL @ BAL 7:05 PM ET Final/10 L
116	Luis Lara	3/3	MIL @ BAL	PH	Cade Povich S vs LHP ERA 4.38	Hits	0.5	-200	33.3	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	66.7%	0.0%	1	MIL @ BAL 7:05 PM ET Final/10 W
117	Nick Fortes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ TB	C	Ranger Suarez RHB vs LHP Average 43% ERA 3.27	Hits	0.5	-200	33.3	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	66.7%	0.0%	1	BOS @ TB 7:10 PM ET Final W
118	Brandon Lowe	3/3	KC @ PIT	2B	Randy Dobnak LHB vs RHP ERA 3.08	Hits	1.5	+475	32.6	1, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	17.4%	15.9%	1	KC @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final L
119	Connor Norby	3/3	SEA @ COL	DH	Bryan Woo RHB vs RHP Average 47% ERA 3.92	Runs Batted In	1.5	+475	32.6	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	17.4%	15.9%	1	SEA @ COL 8:10 PM ET Final L
120	Dustin Harris	3/3	MIA @ SD	LF	Tyler Phillips LHB vs RHP ERA 3.45	Runs Batted In	1.5	+475	32.6	3, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	17.4%	15.9%	2	MIA @ SD 9:40 PM ET Final W
121	Oneil Cruz	3/3	KC @ PIT	CF	Randy Dobnak LHB vs RHP ERA 3.08	Hits	1.5	+475	32.6	1, 2, 0	1/3 33.3%	17.4%	15.9%	3	KC @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final W
122	Yordan Alvarez	3/3	ATL @ HOU	LF	Tyler Mahle LHB vs RHP Replacement 1% ERA 3.81	Runs Batted In	1.5	+475	32.6	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	17.4%	15.9%	0	ATL @ HOU 8:10 PM ET Final L
123	Andrew Benintendi ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	DET @ CWS	DH	Andrew Sears LHB vs LHP ERA 5.19	Hits	1.5	+450	31.8	0, 3, 1	1/3 33.3%	18.2%	15.2%	N/A	DET @ CHW 7:40 PM ET Final
124	Jake Mangum ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	KC @ PIT	RF	Randy Dobnak S vs RHP ERA 3.08	Hits	1.5	+450	31.8	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	18.2%	15.2%	N/A	KC @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final
125	Jose Caballero ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ ARI	3B	TBD	Hits	1.5	+450	31.8	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	18.2%	15.2%	N/A	NYY @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final

Showing 101–125 of 187 plays

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