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Strong Plays Record
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← Sep 18 →
Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
0
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-09-18 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
291
Total Found
187
Shown
187
Actionable
12
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
176 Ronald Acuna Jr. 3/3 ATL @ HOU RF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.70
Hits 1.5 +230 19.7 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
30.3% 3.0% 1
ATL @ HOU
8:10 PM ET
Final
L
177 Yainer Diaz 3/3 ATL @ HOU C
RHB vs RHP
Replacement 1%
ERA 3.81
Hits 1.5 +230 19.7 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
30.3% 3.0% 0
ATL @ HOU
8:10 PM ET
Final
L
178 Yordan Alvarez 3/3 ATL @ HOU LF
LHB vs RHP
Replacement 1%
ERA 3.81
Hits 1.5 +230 19.7 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
30.3% 3.0% 1
ATL @ HOU
8:10 PM ET
Final
L
179 Ben Rice 3/3 NYY @ ARI DH TBD Hits 1.5 +220 18.7 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% 2
NYY @ ARI
9:40 PM ET
Final
W
180 Bo Bichette 3/3 PHI @ NYM 3B
RHB vs LHP
ERA 3.46
Hits 1.5 +220 18.7 1, 1, 3
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% 1
PHI @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
181 Ceddanne Rafaela
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 BOS @ TB CF
RHB vs LHP
ERA 4.38
Hits 1.5 +220 18.7 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% N/A
BOS @ TB
7:10 PM ET
Final
182 Cole Carrigg 3/3 SEA @ COL CF
S vs RHP
Average 47%
ERA 3.92
Hits 1.5 +220 18.7 1, 0, 4
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% 3
SEA @ COL
8:10 PM ET
Final
W
183 Connor Norby 3/3 SEA @ COL DH
RHB vs RHP
Average 47%
ERA 3.92
Hits 1.5 +220 18.7 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% 3
SEA @ COL
8:10 PM ET
Final
W
184 Michael Harris II 3/3 ATL @ HOU CF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.70
Hits 1.5 +220 18.7 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% 3
ATL @ HOU
8:10 PM ET
Final
W
185 Alec Bohm 3/3 PHI @ NYM 1B
RHB vs LHP
ERA 3.40
Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 1, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% 0
PHI @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
186 Ketel Marte 3/3 NYY @ ARI 2B
S vs RHP
ERA 3.63
Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 1, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% 0
NYY @ ARI
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
187 Nick Madrigal
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 BOS @ TB
RHB vs LHP
Average 43%
ERA 3.27
Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% N/A
BOS @ TB
7:10 PM ET
Final
Showing 176–187 of 187 plays
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