Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-09-19 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

327

Total Found

219

Shown

219

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
51	Turner Hill	3/3	SF @ LAD	PH	Tarik Skubal LHB vs LHP Good 78% ERA 2.85	Hits	0.5	+320	76.2	0, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	23.8%	42.9%	1	SF @ LAD 9:10 PM ET Final W
52	Christian Koss	3/3	SF @ LAD	SS	Tarik Skubal RHB vs LHP Good 78% ERA 2.85	Hits	0.5	+300	75.0	0, 1, 3	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	0	SF @ LAD 9:10 PM ET Final L
53	Coby Mayo	3/3	MIL @ BAL		Robert Gasser RHB vs LHP ERA 4.01	Hits	1.5	+300	75.0	3, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	0	MIL @ BAL 4:05 PM ET Final L
54	Denzer Guzman	3/3	MIN @ LAA	3B	Joe Ryan RHB vs RHP Average 44% ERA 3.83	Hits	0.5	+300	75.0	0, 1, 4	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	1	MIN @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final/11 W
55	Evan Carter	3/3	TOR @ TEX	CF	José Soriano LHB vs RHP Average 40% ERA 3.72	Runs Batted In	0.5	+300	75.0	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	1	TOR @ TEX 7:05 PM ET Final W
56	Sal Stewart	3/3	CHC @ CIN	1B	Matthew Boyd RHB vs LHP ERA 4.06	Hits	1.5	+300	75.0	1, 2, 3	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	0	CHC @ CIN 6:40 PM ET Final L
57	Xander Bogaerts ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ SD	SS	Eury Pérez RHB vs RHP Replacement 4% ERA 4.17	Hits	1.5	+275	73.3	2, 3, 0	2/3 66.7%	26.7%	40.0%	N/A	MIA @ SD 8:40 PM ET Final/10
58	Matt Olson	3/3	ATL @ HOU	1B	Hayden Wesneski LHB vs RHP ERA 3.50	Hits	1.5	+260	72.2	3, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	2	ATL @ HOU 7:10 PM ET Final W
59	Mauricio Dubon	3/3	ATL @ HOU	SS	Hayden Wesneski RHB vs RHP ERA 3.50	Hits	1.5	+260	72.2	2, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	1	ATL @ HOU 7:10 PM ET Final L
60	Eli White ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	BOS @ TB		Freddy Peralta RHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 4.56	Runs Batted In	0.5	+258	72.1	0, 1, 3	2/3 66.7%	27.9%	38.7%	N/A	BOS @ TB 4:10 PM ET Final
61	Joc Pederson ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	TOR @ TEX		José Soriano LHB vs RHP Average 40% ERA 3.72	Runs Batted In	0.5	+252	71.6	0, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	28.4%	38.3%	N/A	TOR @ TEX 7:05 PM ET Final
62	Christopher Morel ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	PHI @ NYM		Andrew Painter RHB vs RHP ERA 5.59	Runs Batted In	0.5	+250	71.4	0, 1, 3	2/3 66.7%	28.6%	38.1%	N/A	PHI @ NYM 4:10 PM ET Final
63	Drake Baldwin	3/3	ATL @ HOU	DH	Hayden Wesneski LHB vs RHP ERA 3.50	Hits	1.5	+240	70.6	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	3	ATL @ HOU 7:10 PM ET Final W
64	Jhonny Pereda ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	SEA @ COL	C	Jose Quintana RHB vs LHP ERA 5.40	Hits	1.5	+240	70.6	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	N/A	SEA @ COL 8:10 PM ET Final
65	Josh Naylor	3/3	SEA @ COL	1B	Jose Quintana LHB vs LHP ERA 5.40	Hits	1.5	+240	70.6	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	0	SEA @ COL 8:10 PM ET Final L
66	Owen Caissie ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIA @ SD		Casey Mize LHB vs RHP Average 61% ERA 3.96	Runs Batted In	0.5	+234	70.1	0, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	29.9%	36.7%	N/A	MIA @ SD 8:40 PM ET Final/10
67	Myles Straw	3/3	TOR @ TEX	CF	Cal Quantrill RHB vs RHP ERA 2.86	Runs Batted In	0.5	+231	69.8	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	30.2%	36.5%	0	TOR @ TEX 7:05 PM ET Final L
68	Brett Bateman	3/3	TOR @ TEX	RF	Cal Quantrill LHB vs RHP ERA 2.86	Hits	1.5	+230	69.7	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	30.3%	36.4%	1	TOR @ TEX 7:05 PM ET Final L
69	Jeremy Pena	3/3	ATL @ HOU	SS	Grant Holmes RHB vs RHP Average 47% ERA 3.47	Hits	1.5	+230	69.7	0, 2, 3	2/3 66.7%	30.3%	36.4%	1	ATL @ HOU 7:10 PM ET Final L
70	Jose Ramirez	3/3	OAK @ CLE	3B	Jacob Lopez S vs LHP ERA 5.68	Hits	1.5	+230	69.7	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	30.3%	36.4%	2	ATH @ CLE 6:10 PM ET Final W
71	Daylen Lile	3/3	WSH @ STL		Michael McGreevy LHB vs RHP Weak 18% ERA 3.84	Runs Batted In	0.5	+226	69.3	1, 0, 3	2/3 66.7%	30.7%	36.0%	2	WSH @ STL 7:15 PM ET Final/11 W
72	Cody Bellinger	3/3	NYY @ ARI	LF	TBD	Hits	1.5	+220	68.7	1, 3, 3	2/3 66.7%	31.3%	35.4%	0	NYY @ ARI 8:10 PM ET Final L
73	Chandler Simpson	3/3	BOS @ TB	LF	Brayan Bello LHB vs RHP ERA 4.49	Hits	1.5	+200	66.7	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	33.3%	33.3%	2	BOS @ TB 4:10 PM ET Final W
74	Gabriel Moreno	3/3	NYY @ ARI	DH	Cam Schlittler RHB vs RHP Ace 95% ERA 1.94	Hits	1.5	+200	66.7	0, 3, 2	2/3 66.7%	33.3%	33.3%	1	NYY @ ARI 8:10 PM ET Final L
75	Otto Lopez	3/3	MIA @ SD	SS	Casey Mize RHB vs RHP Average 61% ERA 3.96	Hits	1.5	+200	66.7	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	33.3%	33.3%	1	MIA @ SD 8:40 PM ET Final/10 L

Showing 51–75 of 219 plays

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