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Strong Plays Record
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← Sep 24 →
Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
0
Record based on top 6 NBA + top 6 MLB plays daily, ranked by strong plays score.
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-09-24 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
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Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
229
Total Found
177
Shown
177
Actionable
55
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
1 George Lombard Jr. ELITE 3/3 TB @ NYY SS
RHB vs LHP
ERA 4.38
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +334 127.0 1, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 23.0% 77.0% 3
TB @ NYY
7:05 PM ET
Final
W
2 Jose Fermin ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 STL @ PIT LF
RHB vs RHP
Weak 25%
ERA 3.91
 Hits 1.5 +300 125.0 2, 2, 3
3/3
100.0%
 25.0% 75.0% 0
STL @ PIT
12:35 PM ET
Final
L
3 Tommy Edman ELITE 3/3 SD @ LAD PR
S vs RHP
Weak 12%
ERA 3.30
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +260 122.2 1, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 27.8% 72.2% 0
SD @ LAD
10:10 PM ET
Final
L
4 William Contreras ELITE 3/3 MIL @ PHI C
RHB vs RHP
ERA 5.59
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +191 115.6 2, 3, 1
3/3
100.0%
 34.4% 65.6% 0
MIL @ PHI
6:05 PM ET
Final
L
5 Vinnie Pasquantino ELITE 3/3 CWS @ KC 1B TBD Runs Batted In 0.5 +183 114.7 1, 5, 2
3/3
100.0%
 35.3% 64.7% 0
CHW @ KC
2:10 PM ET
Final
L
6 Yordan Alvarez ELITE 3/3 HOU @ OAK LF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 7.16
 Hits 1.5 +160 111.5 2, 2, 2
3/3
100.0%
 38.5% 61.5% 1
HOU @ ATH
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
7 Jose Altuve ELITE 3/3 HOU @ OAK 2B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 7.16
 Hits 1.5 +158 111.2 2, 2, 2
3/3
100.0%
 38.8% 61.2% 0
HOU @ ATH
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
8 Munetaka Murakami ELITE 3/3 CWS @ KC 1B
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.08
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +150 110.0 1, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 40.0% 60.0% 1
CHW @ KC
2:10 PM ET
Final
W
9 Yainer Diaz ELITE 3/3 HOU @ OAK C
RHB vs RHP
ERA 7.16
 Hits 1.5 +139 108.2 2, 2, 2
3/3
100.0%
 41.8% 58.2% 0
HOU @ ATH
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
10 Nolan Arenado ELITE 3/3 ARI @ COL 3B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 6.01
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +129 106.3 1, 1, 4
3/3
100.0%
 43.7% 56.3% 3
ARI @ COL
3:10 PM ET
Final
W
11 Cedric Mullins ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 TB @ NYY PH
LHB vs RHP
Ace 95%
ERA 1.94
 Hits 0.5 +112 102.8 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 47.2% 52.8% N/A
TB @ NYY
7:05 PM ET
Final
12 Corbin Carroll ELITE 3/3 ARI @ COL RF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 6.01
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +100 100.0 2, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 50.0% 50.0% 0
ARI @ COL
3:10 PM ET
Final
L
13 Griffin Conine ELITE 3/3 MIA @ CHC RF
LHB vs LHP
ERA 4.06
 Hits 0.5 -103 99.3 2, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 50.7% 49.3% 0
MIA @ CHC
2:20 PM ET
Final
L
14 Matt McLain ELITE 3/3 CIN @ ATL 2B
RHB vs RHP
Replacement 1%
ERA 3.81
 Hits 0.5 -105 98.8 2, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 51.2% 48.8% 1
CIN @ ATL
7:15 PM ET
Final
W
15 Brett Baty ELITE 3/3 NYM @ TEX 1B
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.47
 Hits 0.5 -113 96.9 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 53.1% 46.9% 1
NYM @ TEX
2:35 PM ET
Final
W
16 George Lombard Jr. ELITE 3/3 TB @ NYY SS
RHB vs LHP
ERA 4.38
 Hits 0.5 -117 96.1 1, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 53.9% 46.1% 2
TB @ NYY
7:05 PM ET
Final
W
17 Francisco Alvarez ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 NYM @ TEX C
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.47
 Hits 0.5 -120 95.5 2, 2, 2
3/3
100.0%
 54.5% 45.5% N/A
NYM @ TEX
2:35 PM ET
Final
18 Kyle Stowers ELITE 3/3 MIA @ CHC
LHB vs LHP
ERA 4.06
 Hits 0.5 -125 94.4 1, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 55.6% 44.4% 0
MIA @ CHC
2:20 PM ET
Final
L
19 Brayan Rocchio ELITE 3/3 CLE @ BOS SS
S vs LHP
Average 43%
ERA 3.27
 Hits 0.5 -135 92.6 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 57.4% 42.6% 0
CLE @ BOS
6:45 PM ET
Final
L
20 Brenton Doyle ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 CWS @ KC CF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.08
 Hits 0.5 -135 92.6 2, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 57.4% 42.6% 0
CHW @ KC
2:10 PM ET
Final
L
21 Ian Happ ELITE 3/3 MIA @ CHC LF
S vs RHP
ERA 3.45
 Hits 0.5 -137 92.2 1, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 57.8% 42.2% 1
MIA @ CHC
2:20 PM ET
Final
W
22 Spencer Horwitz ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 STL @ PIT 1B
LHB vs RHP
Weak 21%
ERA 3.65
 Hits 0.5 -143 91.2 1, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 58.8% 41.2% 0
STL @ PIT
12:35 PM ET
Final
L
23 Adley Rutschman ELITE 3/3 CLE @ BOS C
S vs RHP
ERA 4.73
 Hits 0.5 -148 90.3 1, 3, 1
3/3
100.0%
 59.7% 40.3% 0
CLE @ BOS
6:45 PM ET
Final
L
24 Heliot Ramos ELITE 3/3 TB @ NYY RF
RHB vs LHP
ERA 4.38
 Hits 0.5 -148 90.3 2, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 59.7% 40.3% 1
TB @ NYY
7:05 PM ET
Final
W
25 Nick Loftin ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 CWS @ KC TBD Hits 0.5 -150 90.0 1, 1, 4
3/3
100.0%
 60.0% 40.0% 1
CHW @ KC
2:10 PM ET
Final
W
Showing 1–25 of 177 plays
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