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Strong Plays Record
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← Sep 25 →
Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
0
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-09-25 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
325
Total Found
289
Shown
289
Actionable
68
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
151 Brice Matthews
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 HOU @ OAK
RHB vs LHP
ERA 5.68
Hits 0.5 +106 51.5 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
48.5% 18.1% N/A
HOU @ ATH
9:40 PM ET
Final
152 Richie Palacios
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 TB @ PHI 2B
LHB vs LHP
Ace 92%
ERA 2.93
Hits 0.5 +102 50.5 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
49.5% 17.2% N/A
TB @ PHI
6:40 PM ET
Final
153 Taylor Walls
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 TB @ PHI SS
S vs LHP
Ace 92%
ERA 2.93
Hits 0.5 +102 50.5 1, 3, 0
2/3
66.7%
49.5% 17.2% N/A
TB @ PHI
6:40 PM ET
Final
154 Christian Moore 3/3 LAA @ SEA 2B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.99
Hits 0.5 +100 50.0 2, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
50.0% 16.7% 1
LAA @ SEA
10:10 PM ET
Final
W
155 Will Banfield
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 CIN @ TOR C TBD Hits 0.5 +100 50.0 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
50.0% 16.7% N/A
CIN @ TOR
7:07 PM ET
Final
156 Leody Taveras
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 BAL @ NYY
S vs RHP
ERA 8.22
Hits 0.5 -103 49.3 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
50.7% 15.9% 2
BAL @ NYY
4:05 PM ET
Final
W
157 Leody Taveras
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 BAL @ NYY
S vs RHP
ERA 8.22
Hits 0.5 -103 49.3 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
50.7% 15.9% 2
BAL @ NYY
7:30 PM ET
Final
W
158 Christian Koss 3/3 LAD @ SF SS
RHB vs LHP
Good 78%
ERA 2.85
Hits 0.5 -104 49.0 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
51.0% 15.7% 0
LAD @ SF
10:15 PM ET
Final
L
159 Jacob Young
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 NYM @ WSH TBD Hits 0.5 -107 48.3 0, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
51.7% 15.0% 2
NYM @ WSH
6:45 PM ET
Final
W
160 TJ Friedl
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 CIN @ TOR TBD Hits 0.5 -110 47.6 0, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
52.4% 14.3% N/A
CIN @ TOR
7:07 PM ET
Final
161 Emmanuel Rodriguez 3/3 TEX @ MIN
LHB vs RHP
Weak 16%
ERA 3.86
Hits 0.5 -111 47.4 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
52.6% 14.1% 0
TEX @ MIN
8:10 PM ET
Final
L
162 Pavin Smith 3/3 ARI @ SD DH TBD Hits 0.5 -114 46.7 2, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
53.3% 13.4% 0
ARI @ SD
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
163 Adam Frazier
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 LAA @ SEA
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.99
Hits 0.5 -115 46.5 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
53.5% 13.2% N/A
LAA @ SEA
10:10 PM ET
Final
164 Gabriel Arias
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 CHC @ BOS PH
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.49
Hits 0.5 -115 46.5 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
53.5% 13.2% N/A
CHC @ BOS
1:05 PM ET
Final
165 Gabriel Arias
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 CHC @ BOS PH
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.49
Hits 0.5 -115 46.5 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
53.5% 13.2% N/A
CHC @ BOS
5:30 PM ET
Final
166 Troy Johnston
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 COL @ CWS 1B TBD Hits 0.5 -115 46.5 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
53.5% 13.2% 0
COL @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
167 Spencer Horwitz
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 PIT @ DET 1B
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.98
Hits 0.5 -119 45.7 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
54.3% 12.3% 1
PIT @ DET
6:40 PM ET
Final
W
168 Coby Mayo 3/3 BAL @ NYY
RHB vs RHP
ERA 8.22
Hits 0.5 -120 45.5 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
54.5% 12.1% 3
BAL @ NYY
4:05 PM ET
Final
W
169 Coby Mayo 3/3 BAL @ NYY
RHB vs RHP
ERA 8.22
Hits 0.5 -120 45.5 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
54.5% 12.1% 3
BAL @ NYY
7:30 PM ET
Final
W
170 Logan O'Hoppe
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 TEX @ MIN
RHB vs RHP
Average 44%
ERA 3.83
Hits 0.5 -120 45.5 1, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
54.5% 12.1% N/A
TEX @ MIN
8:10 PM ET
Final
171 Luke Maile
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 CLE @ KC C
RHB vs RHP
Average 58%
ERA 3.63
Hits 0.5 -120 45.5 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
54.5% 12.1% N/A
CLE @ KC
7:40 PM ET
Final
172 Tim Tawa 3/3 ARI @ SD 1B TBD Hits 0.5 -120 45.5 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
54.5% 12.1% 1
ARI @ SD
9:40 PM ET
Final
W
173 Jarren Duran 3/3 CHC @ BOS PH
LHB vs LHP
Weak 22%
ERA 4.96
Hits 0.5 -122 45.0 1, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
55.0% 11.7% 0
CHC @ BOS
1:05 PM ET
Final
L
174 Jarren Duran 3/3 CHC @ BOS PH
LHB vs LHP
Weak 22%
ERA 4.96
Hits 0.5 -122 45.0 1, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
55.0% 11.7% 0
CHC @ BOS
5:30 PM ET
Final
L
175 Eugenio Suarez 3/3 CIN @ TOR DH TBD Hits 0.5 -125 44.4 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
55.6% 11.1% 2
CIN @ TOR
7:07 PM ET
Final
W
Showing 151–175 of 289 plays