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Strong Plays Record
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← Sep 30 →
Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
0
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-09-30 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
119
Total Found
89
Shown
89
Actionable
0
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
76 Lucas Spence 3/3 CWS @ HOU CF TBD Hits 1.5 +450 31.8 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
18.2% 15.2% 0
CHW @ HOU
5:00 PM ET
Final
L
77 Amed Rosario
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 BOS @ NYY 3B
RHB vs RHP
Good 88%
ERA 2.72
Hits 1.5 +400 30.0 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
20.0% 13.3% N/A
BOS @ NYY
8:00 PM ET
Final
78 Braden Montgomery 3/3 CWS @ HOU RF
S vs RHP
ERA 3.19
Hits 1.5 +400 30.0 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
20.0% 13.3% 0
CHW @ HOU
5:00 PM ET
Final
L
79 Cam Smith 3/3 CWS @ HOU RF TBD Hits 1.5 +400 30.0 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
20.0% 13.3% 1
CHW @ HOU
5:00 PM ET
Final
L
80 Christian Walker 3/3 CWS @ HOU 1B TBD Hits 1.5 +360 28.3 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
21.7% 11.6% 0
CHW @ HOU
5:00 PM ET
Final
L
81 Kyle Schwarber 3/3 PHI @ ATL DH
LHB vs RHP
Replacement 1%
ERA 3.99
Hits 1.5 +360 28.3 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
21.7% 11.6% 1
PHI @ ATL
2:00 PM ET
Final/10
L
82 Edmundo Sosa 3/3 PHI @ ATL 3B
RHB vs RHP
Replacement 1%
ERA 3.99
Hits 1.5 +340 27.3 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% 1
PHI @ ATL
2:00 PM ET
Final/10
L
83 Isaac Paredes 3/3 CWS @ HOU DH TBD Hits 1.5 +320 26.2 1, 0, 3
1/3
33.3%
23.8% 9.5% 0
CHW @ HOU
5:00 PM ET
Final
L
84 Adley Rutschman 3/3 BOS @ NYY C
S vs LHP
Good 80%
ERA 2.80
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 0
BOS @ NYY
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
85 Giancarlo Stanton
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 BOS @ NYY PH
RHB vs RHP
Good 88%
ERA 2.72
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% N/A
BOS @ NYY
8:00 PM ET
Final
86 Jose Altuve 3/3 CWS @ HOU 2B TBD Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 2
CHW @ HOU
5:00 PM ET
Final
W
87 Sam Antonacci 3/3 CWS @ HOU DH
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.19
Hits 1.5 +280 23.7 1, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
26.3% 7.0% 1
CHW @ HOU
5:00 PM ET
Final
L
88 Mauricio Dubón 3/3 PHI @ ATL SS
RHB vs LHP
Ace 92%
ERA 2.91
Hits 1.5 +230 19.7 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
30.3% 3.0% 2
PHI @ ATL
2:00 PM ET
Final/10
W
89 Yordan Alvarez 3/3 CWS @ HOU LF TBD Hits 1.5 +230 19.7 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
30.3% 3.0% 0
CHW @ HOU
5:00 PM ET
Final
L
Showing 76–89 of 89 plays
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