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Strong Plays Record
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⭐ Strong Plays
2026-11-07 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): PTS ≥ 10  ·  3PM ≥ 2  ·  REB ≥ 4  ·  AST ≥ 2    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
74
Total Found
32
Shown
32
Actionable
12
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 MIN Last 3 Stat Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
26 Nolan Traore 3/3 BKN @ ATL Points 11.5 -104 49.0 20, 16, 10 17, 12, 10
2/3
66.7%
51.0% 15.7% N/A
BKN @ ATL
ET
Scheduled
27 Victor Wembanyama
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 SAS @ POR Rebounds 11.5 -104 49.0 38, 44, 39 14, 13, 8
2/3
66.7%
51.0% 15.7% N/A
SAS @ POR
ET
Scheduled
28 Alperen Sengun
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 PHX @ HOU Rebounds 9.5 -105 48.8 22, 38, 44 10, 11, 9
2/3
66.7%
51.2% 15.4% N/A
PHX @ HOU
ET
Scheduled
29 Dylan Harper
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 SAS @ POR Points 17.5 -108 48.1 31, 32, 32 25, 21, 13
2/3
66.7%
51.9% 14.7% N/A
SAS @ POR
ET
Scheduled
30 Devin Vassell
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 SAS @ POR Points 11.5 -114 46.7 39, 40, 38 12, 18, 11
2/3
66.7%
53.3% 13.4% N/A
SAS @ POR
ET
Scheduled
31 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 WSH @ OKC Assists 5.5 -116 46.3 23, 18, 43 6, 5, 9
2/3
66.7%
53.7% 13.0% N/A
WAS @ OKC
ET
Scheduled
32 Pascal Siakam 3/3 IND @ DEN Assists 3.5 -138 42.0 21, 22, 19 4, 4, 3
2/3
66.7%
58.0% 8.7% N/A
IND @ DEN
ET
Scheduled
Showing 26–32 of 32 plays
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