Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

233

NBA

Top Over

Vj Edgecombe

PTS • +10.9 • 100

Top Under

Jalen Johnson

PTS • -11.5 • 100

Top Fade

Bam Adebayo

PTS • +5.0 • 42

Top 1

Vj Edgecombe

PTS • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +11.9 | Edge: +10.9

Top 2

Jalen Johnson

PTS • TOP UNDER
Conf: 100 | Trend: -8.6 | Edge: -11.5

Top 3

Paul George

PTS • TOP UNDER
Conf: 100 | Trend: -8.0 | Edge: -10.9

Top 4

Jalen Williams

PTS • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +6.6 | Edge: +10.0

Top 5

Josh Giddey

REB • TOP UNDER
Conf: 100 | Trend: -5.2 | Edge: -4.0

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Vj Edgecombe	3/3	CHI @ PHI	PTS	31.7	19.8	20.8	100	TOP OVER	+11.9	+10.9	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Jalen Johnson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ DET	PTS	10.3	18.9	21.8	100	TOP UNDER	-8.6	-11.5	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
3	Paul George ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHI @ PHI	PTS	5.0	13.0	15.9	100	TOP UNDER	-8.0	-10.9	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
4	Jalen Williams	3/3	OKC @ BOS	PTS	23.0	16.4	13.0	100	TOP OVER	+6.6	+10.0	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Josh Giddey	3/3	CHI @ PHI	REB	4.3	9.5	8.3	100	TOP UNDER	-5.2	-4.0	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Isaiah Hartenstein	3/3	OKC @ BOS	REB	13.0	9.3	8.1	100	TOP OVER	+3.7	+4.9	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Lebron James	3/3	LAL @ IND	REB	10.0	6.6	5.8	100	TOP OVER	+3.4	+4.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Paul George ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHI @ PHI	REB	0.7	4.0	4.7	100	TOP UNDER	-3.3	-4.0	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Isaiah Hartenstein	3/3	OKC @ BOS	AST	7.7	4.5	3.5	100	TOP OVER	+3.2	+4.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Jalen Johnson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ DET	AST	4.0	7.8	7.5	100	TOP UNDER	-3.8	-3.5	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Jared Mccain	3/3	OKC @ BOS	PTS	19.0	12.8	7.2	98	TOP OVER	+6.2	+11.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	James Harden	3/3	MIA @ CLE	3PM	5.0	3.4	2.6	91	OVER	+1.6	+2.4	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
	Joel Embiid ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHI @ PHI	PTS	17.7	25.1	23.3	90	TOP UNDER	-7.4	-5.6	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Josh Giddey	3/3	CHI @ PHI	PTS	11.0	16.6	18.1	90	TOP UNDER	-5.6	-7.1	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Luka Garza	3/3	OKC @ BOS	PTS	14.0	9.6	6.2	88	TOP OVER	+4.4	+7.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Derrick White	3/3	OKC @ BOS	AST	1.7	4.3	4.8	87	UNDER	-2.6	-3.1	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Daniss Jenkins	3/3	ATL @ DET	PTS	20.3	11.5	16.8	85	TOP OVER	+8.8	+3.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Zaccharie Risacher	3/3	ATL @ DET	PTS	14.7	10.1	7.5	85	TOP OVER	+4.6	+7.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Paul George ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHI @ PHI	3PM	0.3	1.7	2.2	83	UNDER	-1.4	-1.9	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Vj Edgecombe	3/3	CHI @ PHI	3PM	3.7	1.8	2.3	82	OVER	+1.9	+1.4	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
	Jared Mccain	3/3	OKC @ BOS	3PM	4.0	2.9	1.5	81	OVER	+1.1	+2.5	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
	Jalen Johnson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ DET	REB	5.3	8.0	8.7	78	UNDER	-2.7	-3.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Rui Hachimura	3/3	LAL @ IND	PTS	3.0	7.9	8.5	76	TOP UNDER	-4.9	-5.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Donovan Mitchell	3/3	MIA @ CLE	AST	3.0	5.3	5.5	74	UNDER	-2.3	-2.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Paul George ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHI @ PHI	AST	1.7	3.4	4.7	74	UNDER	-1.7	-3.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	James Harden	3/3	MIA @ CLE	PTS	27.3	22.7	22.4	72	TOP OVER	+4.6	+4.9	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Vj Edgecombe	3/3	CHI @ PHI	REB	8.7	6.4	5.5	72	OVER	+2.3	+3.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Paul Reed	3/3	ATL @ DET	PTS	13.3	8.4	8.8	71	TOP OVER	+4.9	+4.5	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jaylen Brown	3/3	OKC @ BOS	PTS	30.3	25.7	25.6	70	TOP OVER	+4.6	+4.7	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Lebron James	3/3	LAL @ IND	PTS	14.3	18.7	19.0	69	TOP UNDER	-4.4	-4.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Nickeil Alexander-walker	3/3	ATL @ DET	3PM	2.3	3.9	3.4	68	UNDER	-1.6	-1.1	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Chet Holmgren	3/3	OKC @ BOS	REB	7.0	10.0	8.5	67	TOP UNDER	-3.0	-1.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Sam Hauser	3/3	OKC @ BOS	3PM	0.7	1.9	1.9	65	UNDER	-1.2	-1.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jonathan Kuminga	3/3	ATL @ DET	3PM	2.0	1.1	0.5	65	OVER	+0.9	+1.5	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
	T.j. Mcconnell	3/3	LAL @ IND	AST	8.0	6.8	5.2	64	OVER	+1.2	+2.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Andrew Wiggins ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ CLE	3PM	0.7	2.3	1.5	64	UNDER	-1.6	-0.8	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Andrew Wiggins ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ CLE	PTS	10.0	15.4	12.8	63	TOP UNDER	-5.4	-2.8	Big drop in form with clear room below the line.
	Vj Edgecombe	3/3	CHI @ PHI	AST	6.3	4.2	4.5	63	OVER	+2.1	+1.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Derrick White	3/3	OKC @ BOS	3PM	1.3	2.4	2.6	63	UNDER	-1.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Sam Hauser	3/3	OKC @ BOS	PTS	2.7	6.5	6.7	62	TOP UNDER	-3.8	-4.0	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Andrew Nembhard	3/3	LAL @ IND	AST	9.3	7.3	7.5	62	OVER	+2.0	+1.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jarace Walker	3/3	LAL @ IND	3PM	3.0	2.1	1.6	62	OVER	+0.9	+1.4	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
	Derrick White	3/3	OKC @ BOS	PTS	13.3	18.3	15.9	59	TOP UNDER	-5.0	-2.6	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ajay Mitchell	3/3	OKC @ BOS	PTS	8.0	11.3	11.8	58	TOP UNDER	-3.3	-3.8	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Rui Hachimura	3/3	LAL @ IND	REB	0.7	2.4	3.2	58	UNDER	-1.7	-2.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Tobias Harris	3/3	ATL @ DET	AST	5.0	2.9	3.5	58	OVER	+2.1	+1.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Luguentz Dort ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OKC @ BOS	3PM	0.3	1.3	1.5	58	UNDER	-1.0	-1.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jalen Smith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHI @ PHI	REB	5.0	6.5	7.5	56	UNDER	-1.5	-2.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Daniss Jenkins	3/3	ATL @ DET	3PM	2.3	1.1	1.5	56	OVER	+1.2	+0.8	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
	Onyeka Okongwu	3/3	ATL @ DET	3PM	0.3	1.2	1.5	56	UNDER	-0.9	-1.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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