Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

839

MLB

Top Over

James Wood

RBI • +1.8 • 100

Top Under

Yordan Alvarez

H • -1.2 • 67

Top Fade

Andy Pages

H • +0.8 • 30

Top 1

James Wood

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.8

Top 2

Brent Rooker

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Xander Bogaerts

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 97 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

Willi Castro

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 92 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Matt Chapman

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 90 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.8

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	James Wood	3/3	STL @ WSH	RBI	2.3	1.0	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+1.3	+1.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Brent Rooker	3/3	OAK @ NYY	RBI	2.0	0.7	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+1.3	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Xander Bogaerts	3/3	SD @ PIT	H	2.0	0.8	0.5	97	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	Willi Castro ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ COL	H	2.0	1.0	0.5	92	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Matt Chapman	3/3	PHI @ SF	H	2.3	1.4	0.5	90	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Drake Baldwin	3/3	ATL @ LAA	H	2.3	1.5	0.5	88	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Zach Mckinstry	3/3	DET @ MIN	RBI	1.7	0.5	0.5	86	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Kerry Carpenter ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ MIN	RBI	1.7	0.6	0.5	83	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Carter Jensen	3/3	KC @ CLE	H	1.7	0.7	0.5	80	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Teoscar Hernandez	3/3	LAD @ TOR	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.5	80	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Drake Baldwin	3/3	ATL @ LAA	RBI	2.0	1.3	0.5	76	OVER	+0.7	+1.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	James Wood	3/3	STL @ WSH	H	1.7	0.9	0.5	67	OVER	+0.8	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Yordan Alvarez	3/3	HOU @ COL	H	0.3	1.1	1.5	67	UNDER	-0.8	-1.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Xavier Edwards	3/3	CIN @ MIA	H	0.7	1.5	1.5	66	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.8	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Trevor Story	3/3	MIL @ BOS	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.5	66	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Chase Meidroth	3/3	BAL @ CWS	H	1.7	1.0	0.5	65	OVER	+0.7	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jo Adell	3/3	ATL @ LAA	H	1.7	1.0	0.5	65	OVER	+0.7	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Matt Wallner	3/3	DET @ MIN	H	1.7	1.0	0.5	65	OVER	+0.7	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Shea Langeliers	3/3	OAK @ NYY	TB	0.0	0.9	1.5	62	UNDER	-0.9	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Luis Garcia	3/3	STL @ WSH	H	0.3	0.9	1.5	62	UNDER	-0.6	-1.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Mark Vientos	3/3	AZ @ NYM	H	1.7	1.1	0.5	62	OVER	+0.6	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Shohei Ohtani	3/3	LAD @ TOR	H	1.7	1.1	0.5	62	OVER	+0.6	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Yainer Diaz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ COL	H	0.3	0.9	1.5	62	UNDER	-0.6	-1.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Oneil Cruz	3/3	SD @ PIT	RBI	1.7	1.2	0.5	59	OVER	+0.5	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Joey Loperfido	3/3	HOU @ COL	H	0.0	0.6	1.0	58	UNDER	-0.6	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Liam Hicks	3/3	CIN @ MIA	RBI	0.0	1.2	0.5	57	UNDER	-1.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Christian Yelich	3/3	MIL @ BOS	H	1.7	1.3	0.5	57	OVER	+0.4	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Tj Rumfield	3/3	HOU @ COL	H	1.7	1.3	0.5	57	OVER	+0.4	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Cam Smith	3/3	HOU @ COL	RBI	1.3	0.6	0.5	56	OVER	+0.7	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Carter Jensen	3/3	KC @ CLE	RBI	1.3	0.6	0.5	56	OVER	+0.7	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jeff Mcneil	3/3	OAK @ NYY	H	1.3	0.6	0.5	56	OVER	+0.7	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Nick Kurtz	3/3	OAK @ NYY	H	1.3	0.6	0.5	56	OVER	+0.7	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Tyler O'neill	3/3	BAL @ CWS	H	1.3	0.6	0.5	56	OVER	+0.7	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Giancarlo Stanton	3/3	OAK @ NYY	TB	0.0	0.5	1.5	55	UNDER	-0.5	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Ketel Marte	3/3	AZ @ NYM	TB	0.0	0.5	1.5	55	UNDER	-0.5	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Otto Lopez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ MIA	H	1.7	1.4	0.5	54	OVER	+0.3	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Ryan O'hearn	3/3	SD @ PIT	H	1.7	1.4	0.5	54	OVER	+0.3	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Taylor Ward	3/3	BAL @ CWS	H	1.7	1.4	0.5	54	OVER	+0.3	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Alec Burleson	3/3	STL @ WSH	H	0.3	0.6	1.5	54	UNDER	-0.3	-1.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Aaron Judge	3/3	OAK @ NYY	TB	0.0	0.4	1.5	53	UNDER	-0.4	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Casey Schmitt ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PHI @ SF	H	1.3	0.7	0.5	53	OVER	+0.6	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Matt Chapman	3/3	PHI @ SF	RBI	1.3	0.7	0.5	53	OVER	+0.6	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Miguel Andujar ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ PIT	H	1.3	0.7	0.5	53	OVER	+0.6	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Nico Hoerner	3/3	CHC @ TB	RBI	1.3	0.7	0.5	53	OVER	+0.6	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Spencer Horwitz	3/3	SD @ PIT	H	1.3	0.7	0.5	53	OVER	+0.6	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Tj Rumfield	3/3	HOU @ COL	RBI	1.3	0.7	0.5	53	OVER	+0.6	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Tyler Soderstrom	3/3	OAK @ NYY	RBI	1.3	0.7	0.5	53	OVER	+0.6	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Willi Castro ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ COL	RBI	1.3	0.7	0.5	53	OVER	+0.6	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Dillon Dingler ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ MIN	RBI	0.0	1.0	0.5	52	UNDER	-1.0	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Yandy Diaz	3/3	CHC @ TB	RBI	0.0	1.0	0.5	52	UNDER	-1.0	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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