Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

839

MLB

Top Over

James Wood

RBI • +1.8 • 100

Top Under

Yordan Alvarez

H • -1.2 • 67

Top Fade

Andy Pages

H • +0.8 • 30

Top 1

James Wood

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.8

Top 2

Brent Rooker

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Xander Bogaerts

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 97 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

Willi Castro

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 92 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Matt Chapman

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 90 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.8

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Jackson Merrill	3/3	SD @ PIT	TB	0.0	0.3	1.5	51	UNDER	-0.3	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Francisco Alvarez	3/3	AZ @ NYM	H	1.3	0.8	0.5	51	OVER	+0.5	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jorge Polanco	3/3	AZ @ NYM	H	1.3	0.8	0.5	51	OVER	+0.5	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jorge Soler	3/3	ATL @ LAA	H	1.3	0.8	0.5	51	OVER	+0.5	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Nolan Arenado	3/3	AZ @ NYM	H	1.3	0.8	0.5	51	OVER	+0.5	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Nolan Gorman	3/3	STL @ WSH	H	1.3	0.8	0.5	51	OVER	+0.5	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Sal Frelick	3/3	MIL @ BOS	H	1.3	0.8	0.5	51	OVER	+0.5	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Shohei Ohtani	3/3	LAD @ TOR	RBI	1.3	0.8	0.5	51	OVER	+0.5	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Zach Mckinstry	3/3	DET @ MIN	H	1.3	0.8	0.5	51	OVER	+0.5	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Bobby Witt Jr.	3/3	KC @ CLE	TB	0.0	0.2	1.5	49	UNDER	-0.2	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Gabriel Moreno	3/3	AZ @ NYM	TB	0.0	0.2	1.5	49	UNDER	-0.2	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Geraldo Perdomo	3/3	AZ @ NYM	TB	0.0	0.2	1.5	49	UNDER	-0.2	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nolan Schanuel ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ LAA	TB	0.0	0.2	1.5	49	UNDER	-0.2	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Steven Kwan	3/3	KC @ CLE	TB	0.0	0.2	1.5	49	UNDER	-0.2	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ezequiel Tovar	3/3	HOU @ COL	H	0.0	0.9	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.9	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Owen Caissie ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ MIA	RBI	0.0	0.9	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.9	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Chandler Simpson	3/3	CHC @ TB	H	1.7	1.6	0.5	49	OVER	+0.1	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Cody Bellinger	3/3	OAK @ NYY	TB	0.0	0.1	1.5	48	UNDER	-0.1	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Dillon Dingler ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ MIN	TB	0.0	0.1	1.5	48	UNDER	-0.1	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jake Mccarthy ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ COL	TB	0.0	0.1	1.5	48	UNDER	-0.1	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kevin Mcgonigle	3/3	DET @ MIN	TB	0.0	0.1	1.5	48	UNDER	-0.1	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Tucker	3/3	LAD @ TOR	TB	0.0	0.1	1.5	48	UNDER	-0.1	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Maikel Garcia	3/3	KC @ CLE	TB	0.0	0.1	1.5	48	UNDER	-0.1	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Miguel Andujar ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ PIT	TB	0.0	0.1	1.5	48	UNDER	-0.1	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Riley Greene	3/3	DET @ MIN	TB	0.0	0.1	1.5	48	UNDER	-0.1	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Salvador Perez	3/3	KC @ CLE	TB	0.0	0.1	1.5	48	UNDER	-0.1	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Yainer Diaz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ COL	TB	0.0	0.1	1.5	48	UNDER	-0.1	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ozzie Albies	3/3	ATL @ LAA	H	0.7	1.1	1.5	48	UNDER	-0.4	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Aaron Judge	3/3	OAK @ NYY	H	1.3	0.9	0.5	48	OVER	+0.4	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Bryce Harper	3/3	PHI @ SF	H	1.3	0.9	0.5	48	OVER	+0.4	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Carson Kelly ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ TB	H	1.3	0.9	0.5	48	OVER	+0.4	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Gabriel Moreno	3/3	AZ @ NYM	H	1.3	0.9	0.5	48	OVER	+0.4	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Javier Baez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ MIN	H	1.3	0.9	0.5	48	OVER	+0.4	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ketel Marte	3/3	AZ @ NYM	H	1.3	0.9	0.5	48	OVER	+0.4	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Matt Shaw	3/3	CHC @ TB	H	1.3	0.9	0.5	48	OVER	+0.4	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Willson Contreras	3/3	MIL @ BOS	H	1.3	0.9	0.5	48	OVER	+0.4	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Dillon Dingler ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ MIN	H	0.0	0.8	0.5	47	UNDER	-0.8	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Liam Hicks	3/3	CIN @ MIA	H	0.0	0.8	0.5	47	UNDER	-0.8	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Owen Caissie ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ MIA	H	0.0	0.8	0.5	47	UNDER	-0.8	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Shea Langeliers	3/3	OAK @ NYY	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.5	47	UNDER	-0.8	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brett Baty ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ NYM	H	1.3	1.0	0.5	45	OVER	+0.3	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Corbin Carroll	3/3	AZ @ NYM	H	1.3	1.0	0.5	45	OVER	+0.3	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Elly De La Cruz	3/3	CIN @ MIA	H	1.3	1.0	0.5	45	OVER	+0.3	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ildemaro Vargas	3/3	AZ @ NYM	H	1.3	1.0	0.5	45	OVER	+0.3	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jorge Soler	3/3	ATL @ LAA	RBI	1.3	1.0	0.5	45	OVER	+0.3	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Luis Robert Jr.	3/3	AZ @ NYM	H	1.3	1.0	0.5	45	OVER	+0.3	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Cody Bellinger	3/3	OAK @ NYY	RBI	1.0	0.3	0.5	44	OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Junior Caminero	3/3	CHC @ TB	RBI	1.0	0.3	0.5	44	OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Nick Castellanos ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ PIT	RBI	1.0	0.3	0.5	44	OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Rhys Hoskins	3/3	KC @ CLE	H	0.0	0.7	0.5	44	UNDER	-0.7	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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