Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

839

MLB

Top Over

James Wood

RBI • +1.8 • 100

Top Under

Yordan Alvarez

H • -1.2 • 67

Top Fade

Andy Pages

H • +0.8 • 30

Top 1

James Wood

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.8

Top 2

Brent Rooker

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Xander Bogaerts

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 97 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

Willi Castro

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 92 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Matt Chapman

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 90 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.8

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Giancarlo Stanton	3/3	OAK @ NYY	R	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Gleyber Torres	3/3	DET @ MIN	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Gunnar Henderson	3/3	BAL @ CWS	RBI	1.0	0.9	0.5	29	OVER	+0.1	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jackson Merrill	3/3	SD @ PIT	R	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jake Mccarthy ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ COL	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jonathan Aranda	3/3	CHC @ TB	H	1.0	0.9	0.5	29	OVER	+0.1	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jorbit Vivas	3/3	STL @ WSH	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jose Caballero ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ NYY	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Josh Bell	3/3	DET @ MIN	H	1.0	0.9	0.5	29	OVER	+0.1	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Josh Jung ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SEA @ TEX	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Josh Lowe	3/3	ATL @ LAA	R	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Josh Smith	3/3	SEA @ TEX	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Justin Crawford	3/3	PHI @ SF	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	LAD @ TOR	H	1.0	0.9	0.5	29	OVER	+0.1	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ketel Marte	3/3	AZ @ NYM	R	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Tucker	3/3	LAD @ TOR	R	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Lane Thomas	3/3	KC @ CLE	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Masyn Winn	3/3	STL @ WSH	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Matt Shaw	3/3	CHC @ TB	RBI	1.0	0.9	0.5	29	OVER	+0.1	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Michael Conforto	3/3	CHC @ TB	H	1.0	0.9	0.5	29	OVER	+0.1	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Mike Trout ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ LAA	R	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Oswald Peraza	3/3	ATL @ LAA	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Owen Caissie ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ MIA	R	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Patrick Bailey ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ SF	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Riley Greene	3/3	DET @ MIN	R	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Samuel Basallo ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BAL @ CWS	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tristan Peters	3/3	BAL @ CWS	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tyler Soderstrom	3/3	OAK @ NYY	H	1.0	0.9	0.5	29	OVER	+0.1	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Will Benson	3/3	CIN @ MIA	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Zach Neto	3/3	ATL @ LAA	H	1.0	0.9	0.5	29	OVER	+0.1	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Alec Bohm ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ SF	RBI	0.3	0.8	0.5	27	UNDER	-0.5	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brandon Lockridge ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ BOS	H	0.3	0.8	0.5	27	UNDER	-0.5	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Eugenio Suarez	3/3	CIN @ MIA	H	0.3	0.8	0.5	27	UNDER	-0.5	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jesus Sanchez	3/3	LAD @ TOR	H	0.3	0.8	0.5	27	UNDER	-0.5	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Josh Bell	3/3	DET @ MIN	RBI	0.3	0.8	0.5	27	UNDER	-0.5	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Miguel Vargas	3/3	BAL @ CWS	H	0.3	0.8	0.5	27	UNDER	-0.5	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Pete Alonso	3/3	BAL @ CWS	H	0.3	0.8	0.5	27	UNDER	-0.5	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Riley Greene	3/3	DET @ MIN	H	0.3	0.8	0.5	27	UNDER	-0.5	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3/3	LAD @ TOR	H	0.3	0.8	0.5	27	UNDER	-0.5	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Edouard Julien	3/3	HOU @ COL	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.5	27	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Nick Kurtz	3/3	OAK @ NYY	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.5	27	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Nolan Arenado	3/3	AZ @ NYM	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.5	27	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Victor Scott Ii	3/3	STL @ WSH	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.5	27	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jordan Walker	3/3	STL @ WSH	H	1.3	1.1	1.0	27	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Adley Rutschman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ CWS	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Adolis Garcia	3/3	PHI @ SF	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Alec Bohm ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ SF	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Alec Burleson	3/3	STL @ WSH	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Alex Bregman	3/3	CHC @ TB	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Austin Riley	3/3	ATL @ LAA	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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