Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

839

MLB

Top Over

James Wood

RBI • +1.8 • 100

Top Under

Yordan Alvarez

H • -1.2 • 67

Top Fade

Andy Pages

H • +0.8 • 30

Top 1

James Wood

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.8

Top 2

Brent Rooker

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Xander Bogaerts

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 97 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

Willi Castro

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 92 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Matt Chapman

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 90 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.8

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Ben Rice	3/3	OAK @ NYY	RBI	1.0	1.2	0.5	15	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Freddie Freeman	3/3	LAD @ TOR	RBI	1.0	1.2	0.5	15	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Max Muncy	3/3	LAD @ TOR	H	1.0	1.2	0.5	15	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Max Muncy	3/3	LAD @ TOR	H	1.0	1.2	0.5	15	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Alec Bohm ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ SF	H	1.3	0.8	1.5	13	FADE OVER	+0.5	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ben Rice	3/3	OAK @ NYY	H	0.7	1.2	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.5	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Brendan Donovan	3/3	SEA @ TEX	H	0.7	1.2	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.5	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Colt Keith	3/3	DET @ MIN	H	0.7	1.2	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.5	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Nick Gonzales	3/3	SD @ PIT	H	0.7	1.2	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.5	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Brandon Marsh ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ SF	H	1.0	1.1	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Garrett Mitchell ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ BOS	RBI	1.0	1.1	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Gunnar Henderson	3/3	BAL @ CWS	H	1.0	1.1	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Jordan Walker	3/3	STL @ WSH	RBI	1.0	1.1	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Justin Crawford	3/3	PHI @ SF	H	1.0	1.1	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Shea Langeliers	3/3	OAK @ NYY	H	0.7	1.1	0.5	11	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Adolis Garcia	3/3	PHI @ SF	H	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	SD @ PIT	H	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Cole Young	3/3	SEA @ TEX	H	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Jake Burger	3/3	SEA @ TEX	H	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Joey Ortiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ BOS	H	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Kyle Tucker	3/3	LAD @ TOR	H	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Matt Mclain	3/3	CIN @ MIA	H	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Matt Olson	3/3	ATL @ LAA	H	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Nick Fortes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ TB	H	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Randy Arozarena	3/3	SEA @ TEX	H	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Sal Stewart	3/3	CIN @ MIA	H	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Adley Rutschman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ CWS	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Adolis Garcia	3/3	PHI @ SF	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Bohm ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ SF	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Burleson	3/3	STL @ WSH	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alex Bregman	3/3	CHC @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alex Freeland	3/3	LAD @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andres Gimenez	3/3	LAD @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andrew Benintendi	3/3	BAL @ CWS	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andy Pages	3/3	LAD @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Angel Martinez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ CLE	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Angel Martinez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Martin	3/3	DET @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Riley	3/3	ATL @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Wells ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ NYY	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Wells ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ben Rice	3/3	OAK @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ben Williamson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Blaze Alexander	3/3	BAL @ CWS	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bo Bichette	3/3	AZ @ NYM	H	1.0	1.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	+0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bo Bichette	3/3	AZ @ NYM	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bobby Witt Jr.	3/3	KC @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brady House	3/3	STL @ WSH	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Lockridge ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Lowe	3/3	SD @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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