Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1230

MLB

Top Over

Angel Martinez

H • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Cj Abrams

HR • -0.5 • 73

Top Fade

Andy Pages

H • +0.6 • 32

Top 1

Angel Martinez

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Casey Schmitt

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.8

Top 3

Jorge Soler

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

James Wood

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 99 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +2.0

Top 5

Angel Martinez

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Ryan Jeffers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ TOR	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Willi Castro	3/3	COL @ SD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ben Rice	3/3	NYY @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Lockridge	3/3	WSH @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brendan Donovan ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ SEA	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Chandler Simpson	3/3	NYY @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Hunter Goodman	3/3	COL @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jeremiah Jackson	3/3	SF @ BAL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Marcell Ozuna ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ CHC	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Marcell Ozuna ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Miguel Andujar	3/3	COL @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ryan Mcmahon ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ TB	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ryan Mcmahon ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Trent Grisham	3/3	NYY @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Troy Johnston ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yainer Diaz ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	HOU @ SEA	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jose Ramirez	3/3	CLE @ ATL	H	0.7	0.6	1.3	16	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.6	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Wilyer Abreu	3/3	BOS @ STL	H	1.3	1.4	0.7	16	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.6	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Drake Baldwin	3/3	CLE @ ATL	RBI	1.0	1.4	0.7	14	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Joey Wiemer ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ MIL	H	0.7	1.2	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.5	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Chandler Simpson	3/3	NYY @ TB	H	1.3	1.4	0.8	13	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Xavier Edwards	3/3	MIA @ DET	H	1.3	1.4	0.8	13	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Aaron Judge	3/3	NYY @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Adley Rutschman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ BAL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Bohm	3/3	AZ @ PHI	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Burleson	3/3	BOS @ STL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alek Thomas	3/3	AZ @ PHI	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alex Bregman	3/3	PIT @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alex Freeland	3/3	TEX @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andres Gimenez	3/3	MIN @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andrew Benintendi ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ KC	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andy Pages	3/3	TEX @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Angel Martinez	3/3	CLE @ ATL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Martin	3/3	MIN @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Riley	3/3	CLE @ ATL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Wells	3/3	NYY @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Wells	3/3	NYY @ TB	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ben Williamson	3/3	NYY @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bo Bichette	3/3	OAK @ NYM	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bobby Witt Jr.	3/3	CWS @ KC	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brady House	3/3	WSH @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Lowe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Marsh	3/3	AZ @ PHI	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Nimmo	3/3	TEX @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brayan Rocchio	3/3	CLE @ ATL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brenton Doyle ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brice Turang ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brooks Lee	3/3	MIN @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	PIT @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryce Harper	3/3	AZ @ PHI	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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