Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1230

MLB

Top Over

Angel Martinez

H • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Cj Abrams

HR • -0.5 • 73

Top Fade

Andy Pages

H • +0.6 • 32

Top 1

Angel Martinez

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Casey Schmitt

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.8

Top 3

Jorge Soler

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

James Wood

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 99 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +2.0

Top 5

Angel Martinez

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Brenton Doyle ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ SD	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bryce Teodosio ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ CIN	H	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bryce Teodosio ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ CIN	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ezequiel Tovar	3/3	COL @ SD	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jj Wetherholt	3/3	BOS @ STL	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Mike Trout	3/3	LAA @ CIN	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tim Tawa	3/3	AZ @ PHI	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tj Friedl	3/3	LAA @ CIN	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brandon Marsh	3/3	AZ @ PHI	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brendan Donovan ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ SEA	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Hunter Goodman	3/3	COL @ SD	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ozzie Albies	3/3	CLE @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Rafael Devers	3/3	SF @ BAL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Willy Adames	3/3	SF @ BAL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Xander Bogaerts ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ SD	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brandon Nimmo	3/3	TEX @ LAD	H	1.0	1.3	0.7	11	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Christian Walker	3/3	HOU @ SEA	H	1.0	1.3	0.7	11	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Oneil Cruz	3/3	PIT @ CHC	H	1.0	1.3	0.7	11	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Chandler Simpson	3/3	NYY @ TB	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.8	10	FADE OVER	+0.5	-0.1	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Roman Anthony ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ STL	H	0.7	0.6	1.1	10	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ryan O'hearn	3/3	PIT @ CHC	H	1.0	1.2	0.7	9	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Colson Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ KC	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Connor Norby ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ DET	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Dominic Canzone ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ SEA	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Geraldo Perdomo	3/3	AZ @ PHI	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jakob Marsee	3/3	MIA @ DET	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Luis Robert Jr.	3/3	OAK @ NYM	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nolan Arenado ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ PHI	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	PIT @ CHC	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Spencer Torkelson	3/3	MIA @ DET	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Daulton Varsho	3/3	MIN @ TOR	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Adley Rutschman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ BAL	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Austin Wells	3/3	NYY @ TB	H	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ernie Clement	3/3	MIN @ TOR	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jacob Young	3/3	WSH @ MIL	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jose Ramirez	3/3	CLE @ ATL	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Marcell Ozuna ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ CHC	H	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Marcelo Mayer ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ STL	H	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Matt Vierling ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIA @ DET	H	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Mike Trout	3/3	LAA @ CIN	H	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Otto Lopez	3/3	MIA @ DET	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Shea Langeliers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ NYM	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Steven Kwan	3/3	CLE @ ATL	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tyrone Taylor ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ NYM	H	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Victor Scott Ii	3/3	BOS @ STL	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Andy Pages	3/3	TEX @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	PIT @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Christian Walker	3/3	HOU @ SEA	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Corey Seager	3/3	TEX @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Elly De La Cruz	3/3	LAA @ CIN	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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