Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Mar 14 – Apr 12 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

20%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1271

MLB

Top Over

Angel Martinez

H • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Cj Abrams

HR • -0.5 • 73

Top Fade

Andy Pages

H • +0.6 • 29

Top 1

Angel Martinez

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Angel Martinez

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.3

Top 3

James Wood

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 90 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Max Muncy

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +0.5

Top 5

Max Muncy

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +0.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Yandy Diaz	3/3	NYY @ TB	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Teoscar Hernandez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ LAD	H	1.0	1.4	0.5	20	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Corbin Carroll ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ PHI	RBI	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Daylen Lile	3/3	WSH @ MIL	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jordan Walker	3/3	BOS @ STL	RBI	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kevin Mcgonigle	3/3	MIA @ DET	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Tucker	3/3	TEX @ LAD	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Matt Wallner ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ TOR	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Miguel Andujar ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ SD	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Drake Baldwin	3/3	CLE @ ATL	H	1.3	1.5	0.7	19	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.6	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Angel Martinez	3/3	CLE @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bo Bichette	3/3	OAK @ NYM	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brenton Doyle ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ SD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Carlos Cortes	3/3	OAK @ NYM	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Connor Norby	3/3	MIA @ DET	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Edouard Julien	3/3	COL @ SD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Evan Carter	3/3	TEX @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Javier Baez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ DET	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jeremiah Jackson	3/3	SF @ BAL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jesus Sanchez	3/3	MIN @ TOR	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jorge Polanco ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ NYM	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Julio Rodriguez	3/3	HOU @ SEA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jung Hoo Lee	3/3	SF @ BAL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Luis Campusano ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	COL @ SD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nico Hoerner	3/3	PIT @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Randy Arozarena	3/3	HOU @ SEA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Richie Palacios ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYY @ TB	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Riley Greene	3/3	MIA @ DET	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ronald Acuna Jr.	3/3	CLE @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Trevor Larnach ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ TOR	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Willy Adames	3/3	SF @ BAL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brendan Donovan ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ SEA	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Christian Walker	3/3	HOU @ SEA	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Danny Jansen	3/3	TEX @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Darell Hernaiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ NYM	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Darell Hernaiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ NYM	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jose Fernandez	3/3	AZ @ PHI	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jose Tena ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Allen ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ SEA	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nolan Schanuel	3/3	LAA @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Troy Johnston ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	COL @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cam Smith	3/3	HOU @ SEA	H	1.3	1.4	0.7	16	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.6	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Matt Chapman	3/3	SF @ BAL	H	1.3	1.4	0.7	16	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.6	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Jeremy Pena ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ SEA	H	1.0	1.1	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Aaron Judge	3/3	NYY @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Bohm	3/3	AZ @ PHI	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Burleson	3/3	BOS @ STL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alek Thomas	3/3	AZ @ PHI	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alex Bregman	3/3	PIT @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alex Freeland	3/3	TEX @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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