Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Apr 13 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

863

MLB

Top Over

Willson Contreras

RBI • +1.3 • 83

Top Under

Cj Abrams

HR • -0.5 • 73

Top Fade

Andy Pages

H • +1.0 • 28

Top 1

Willson Contreras

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 83 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.3

Top 2

Brandon Lowe

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 79 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.0

Top 3

Brandon Nimmo

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 79 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.0

Top 4

Ryan Jeffers

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 74 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.0

Top 5

Cj Abrams

HR • TOP UNDER
Conf: 73 | Trend: -0.4 | Edge: -0.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Nico Hoerner	3/3	CHC @ PHI	RBI	0.3	0.8	0.7	34	UNDER	-0.5	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Yainer Diaz	3/3	HOU @ SEA	RBI	0.3	0.8	0.7	34	UNDER	-0.5	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Logan O'hoppe	3/3	LAA @ NYY	H	1.0	0.7	0.5	34	OVER	+0.3	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Angel Martinez	3/3	CLE @ STL	H	1.3	1.2	0.7	34	OVER	+0.1	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Cam Smith	3/3	HOU @ SEA	H	1.3	1.2	0.7	34	OVER	+0.1	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jose Altuve	3/3	HOU @ SEA	H	1.3	1.2	0.7	34	OVER	+0.1	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Matt Olson	3/3	MIA @ ATL	H	1.3	1.2	0.7	34	OVER	+0.1	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Zach Neto	3/3	LAA @ NYY	H	1.3	1.2	0.7	34	OVER	+0.1	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Carlos Cortes	3/3	TEX @ OAK	RBI	1.0	0.5	0.7	33	OVER	+0.5	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Josh Smith	3/3	TEX @ OAK	H	1.0	0.5	0.7	33	OVER	+0.5	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ketel Marte	3/3	AZ @ BAL	RBI	1.0	0.5	0.7	33	OVER	+0.5	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Marcelo Mayer	3/3	BOS @ MIN	H	1.0	0.5	0.7	33	OVER	+0.5	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Mike Trout	3/3	LAA @ NYY	H	1.0	0.5	0.7	33	OVER	+0.5	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Rhys Hoskins	3/3	CLE @ STL	RBI	1.0	0.5	0.7	33	OVER	+0.5	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Aaron Judge	3/3	LAA @ NYY	TB	0.0	0.0	1.7	31	WATCH	0.0	-1.7	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Gunnar Henderson	3/3	AZ @ BAL	TB	0.0	0.0	1.7	31	WATCH	0.0	-1.7	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Shohei Ohtani	3/3	NYM @ LAD	TB	0.0	0.0	1.7	31	WATCH	0.0	-1.7	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Carlos Correa ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ SEA	RBI	0.3	0.7	0.7	31	UNDER	-0.4	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Chase Delauter ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ STL	RBI	0.3	0.7	0.7	31	UNDER	-0.4	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Danny Jansen ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ OAK	H	0.3	0.7	0.7	31	UNDER	-0.4	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Giancarlo Stanton	3/3	LAA @ NYY	H	0.3	0.7	0.7	31	UNDER	-0.4	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
J.t. Realmuto ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ PHI	H	0.3	0.7	0.7	31	UNDER	-0.4	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Tucker	3/3	NYM @ LAD	RBI	0.3	0.7	0.7	31	UNDER	-0.4	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Lawrence Butler	3/3	TEX @ OAK	H	0.3	0.7	0.7	31	UNDER	-0.4	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Luis Garcia Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ PIT	H	0.3	0.7	0.7	31	UNDER	-0.4	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nolan Arenado	3/3	AZ @ BAL	H	0.3	0.7	0.7	31	UNDER	-0.4	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	CHC @ PHI	H	0.3	0.7	0.7	31	UNDER	-0.4	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Roman Anthony	3/3	BOS @ MIN	H	0.3	0.7	0.7	31	UNDER	-0.4	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Spencer Horwitz	3/3	WSH @ PIT	H	0.3	0.7	0.7	31	UNDER	-0.4	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Alek Thomas	3/3	AZ @ BAL	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Javier Sanoja ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIA @ ATL	H	1.0	0.8	0.5	31	OVER	+0.2	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Michael Harris Ii ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIA @ ATL	H	1.0	0.8	0.5	31	OVER	+0.2	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Austin Martin	3/3	BOS @ MIN	H	1.0	0.6	0.7	30	OVER	+0.4	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Austin Riley	3/3	MIA @ ATL	RBI	1.0	0.6	0.7	30	OVER	+0.4	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Bo Bichette	3/3	NYM @ LAD	RBI	1.0	0.6	0.7	30	OVER	+0.4	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	WSH @ PIT	RBI	1.0	0.6	0.7	30	OVER	+0.4	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Bryson Stott	3/3	CHC @ PHI	H	1.0	0.6	0.7	30	OVER	+0.4	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Colton Cowser	3/3	AZ @ BAL	H	1.0	0.6	0.7	30	OVER	+0.4	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Corey Seager	3/3	TEX @ OAK	RBI	1.0	0.6	0.7	30	OVER	+0.4	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Schwarber	3/3	CHC @ PHI	RBI	1.0	0.6	0.7	30	OVER	+0.4	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Owen Caissie ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ ATL	H	1.0	0.6	0.7	30	OVER	+0.4	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Gunnar Henderson	3/3	AZ @ BAL	HR	0.7	0.5	0.5	30	OVER	+0.2	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Shohei Ohtani	3/3	NYM @ LAD	HR	0.7	0.5	0.5	30	OVER	+0.2	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Heriberto Hernandez	3/3	MIA @ ATL	H	0.3	0.5	0.8	29	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Alec Burleson	3/3	CLE @ STL	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Alex Freeland ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ LAD	H	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Byron Buxton ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ MIN	H	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Giancarlo Stanton	3/3	LAA @ NYY	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Isaac Paredes	3/3	HOU @ SEA	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jakob Marsee	3/3	MIA @ ATL	H	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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