Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Apr 8 – Apr 14 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1256

MLB

Top Over

Brandon Lowe

RBI • +2.6 • 100

Top Under

Christian Walker

HR • -0.5 • 68

Top Fade

Teoscar Hernandez

H • +0.8 • 22

Top 1

Brandon Lowe

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.3 | Edge: +2.6

Top 2

Mike Trout

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.8 | Edge: +2.0

Top 3

Jeremiah Jackson

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Ryan Jeffers

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 5

Jeremiah Jackson

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.6

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Josh Jung	3/3	TEX @ OAK	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nasim Nunez	3/3	WSH @ PIT	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Samuel Basallo	3/3	AZ @ BAL	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Willy Adames	3/3	SF @ CIN	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Isaac Paredes	3/3	COL @ HOU	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brett Sullivan	3/3	COL @ HOU	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Joey Loperfido	3/3	COL @ HOU	H	1.0	0.8	0.8	2	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yordan Alvarez	3/3	COL @ HOU	H	1.0	0.8	1.2	2	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andrew Benintendi	3/3	TB @ CWS	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jorbit Vivas	3/3	WSH @ PIT	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yainer Diaz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ HOU	H	0.7	0.9	0.8	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jose Altuve	3/3	COL @ HOU	H	1.3	1.1	1.2	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Logan O'hoppe	3/3	LAA @ NYY	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Pedro Pages ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CLE @ STL	H	0.7	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ketel Marte ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ BAL	H	1.0	1.0	1.3	0	WATCH	0.0	-0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Randy Arozarena	3/3	SEA @ SD	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Trevor Story	3/3	BOS @ MIN	RBI	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Will Smith	3/3	NYM @ LAD	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Willy Adames	3/3	SF @ CIN	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Xander Bogaerts ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ SD	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jordan Beck	3/3	COL @ HOU	H	0.3	0.2	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Casey Schmitt	3/3	SF @ CIN	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Colson Montgomery	3/3	TB @ CWS	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Derek Hill ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ CWS	H	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jung Hoo Lee	3/3	SF @ CIN	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Michael Harris Ii ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ ATL	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mike Yastrzemski	3/3	MIA @ ATL	H	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Rhys Hoskins ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ STL	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ryan Vilade ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ CWS	H	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Steven Kwan ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ STL	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ezequiel Tovar	3/3	COL @ HOU	H	0.7	0.8	0.8	0	WATCH	-0.1	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Marsh	3/3	CHC @ PHI	RBI	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brice Turang	3/3	TOR @ MIL	RBI	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Dominic Smith	3/3	MIA @ ATL	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Dylan Beavers	3/3	AZ @ BAL	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Gleyber Torres ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ DET	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Gunnar Henderson	3/3	AZ @ BAL	RBI	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ian Happ	3/3	CHC @ PHI	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jorge Polanco	3/3	NYM @ LAD	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Josh Bell	3/3	BOS @ MIN	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Robert Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ LAD	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Marcus Semien	3/3	NYM @ LAD	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryce Harper	3/3	CHC @ PHI	H	1.3	1.3	1.1	0	WATCH	+0.0	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andrew Benintendi	3/3	TB @ CWS	H	0.3	0.4	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jordan Beck	3/3	COL @ HOU	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Noelvi Marte ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ CIN	H	0.3	0.4	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Pedro Pages ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CLE @ STL	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Javier Sanoja ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ ATL	RBI	0.7	0.6	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Keibert Ruiz	3/3	WSH @ PIT	H	0.7	0.6	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Drew Millas ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ PIT	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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