Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1270

MLB

Top Over

Brandon Lowe

RBI • +3.0 • 100

Top Under

Gunnar Henderson

HR • -0.5 • 73

Top Fade

Alec Burleson

HR • -0.2 • 18

Top 1

Brandon Lowe

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.6 | Edge: +3.0

Top 2

Mike Trout

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Ryan Jeffers

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Brandon Lowe

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +0.8

Top 5

Dominic Smith

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.6

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Wyatt Langford ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Yainer Diaz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ HOU	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Yoan Moncada	3/3	LAA @ NYY	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Andruw Monasterio	3/3	BOS @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Wells	3/3	LAA @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Daniel Schneemann	3/3	CLE @ STL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Edmundo Sosa	3/3	CHC @ PHI	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Giancarlo Stanton	3/3	LAA @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Isaac Collins ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ DET	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Isiah Kiner-falefa	3/3	BOS @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jose Fernandez	3/3	AZ @ BAL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jose Tena	3/3	WSH @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kyle Manzardo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ STL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Masataka Yoshida ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Miguel Amaya	3/3	CHC @ PHI	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Otto Kemp	3/3	CHC @ PHI	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Will Smith	3/3	NYM @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Casey Schmitt	3/3	SF @ CIN	H	1.3	1.4	0.7	16	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.6	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Ildemaro Vargas	3/3	AZ @ BAL	H	1.3	1.4	0.7	16	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.6	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Kyle Manzardo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ STL	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.8	15	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Teoscar Hernandez	3/3	NYM @ LAD	H	1.0	1.2	0.5	15	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Aaron Judge	3/3	LAA @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Adolis Garcia	3/3	CHC @ PHI	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Bohm	3/3	CHC @ PHI	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Burleson	3/3	CLE @ STL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alek Thomas ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ BAL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alex Bregman	3/3	CHC @ PHI	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alex Freeland ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andres Gimenez	3/3	TOR @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andrew Benintendi	3/3	TB @ CWS	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andy Pages	3/3	NYM @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Martin ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ MIN	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Martin ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Riley	3/3	MIA @ ATL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ben Rice	3/3	LAA @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ben Williamson	3/3	TB @ CWS	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Blaze Alexander	3/3	AZ @ BAL	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Blaze Alexander	3/3	AZ @ BAL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bo Bichette	3/3	NYM @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bo Naylor ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ STL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bo Naylor ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ STL	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bobby Witt Jr.	3/3	KC @ DET	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brady House ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Lowe	3/3	WSH @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Nimmo	3/3	TEX @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brayan Rocchio	3/3	CLE @ STL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brendan Donovan	3/3	SEA @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brenton Doyle	3/3	COL @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brett Baty ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brice Matthews ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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