Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1270

MLB

Top Over

Brandon Lowe

RBI • +3.0 • 100

Top Under

Gunnar Henderson

HR • -0.5 • 73

Top Fade

Alec Burleson

HR • -0.2 • 18

Top 1

Brandon Lowe

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.6 | Edge: +3.0

Top 2

Mike Trout

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Ryan Jeffers

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Brandon Lowe

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +0.8

Top 5

Dominic Smith

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.6

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Ian Happ	3/3	CHC @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
J.t. Realmuto	3/3	CHC @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jake Cronenworth ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ SD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Joc Pederson	3/3	TEX @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jonathan Aranda	3/3	TB @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jorge Polanco ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Josh Bell	3/3	BOS @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Julio Rodriguez	3/3	SEA @ SD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jung Hoo Lee	3/3	SF @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Keibert Ruiz	3/3	WSH @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Kyle Isbel	3/3	KC @ DET	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Luis Robert Jr.	3/3	NYM @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Luke Keaschall	3/3	BOS @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Marcelo Mayer ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Matt Wallner	3/3	BOS @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Mauricio Dubon	3/3	MIA @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Nathan Church	3/3	CLE @ STL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Nick Fortes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Nico Hoerner	3/3	CHC @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Owen Caissie	3/3	MIA @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ozzie Albies	3/3	MIA @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Pedro Pages ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ STL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	CHC @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Rafael Devers	3/3	SF @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Randy Arozarena	3/3	SEA @ SD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ronald Acuna Jr.	3/3	MIA @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ryan O'hearn	3/3	WSH @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Salvador Perez	3/3	KC @ DET	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Steven Kwan	3/3	CLE @ STL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Tj Rumfield	3/3	COL @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Troy Johnston ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3/3	TOR @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Willi Castro ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Yandy Diaz	3/3	TB @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Zach Mckinstry	3/3	KC @ DET	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Alex Freeland ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ LAD	H	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Cal Raleigh	3/3	SEA @ SD	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Edgar Quero	3/3	TB @ CWS	H	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jonathan India ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ DET	H	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Luisangel Acuna	3/3	TB @ CWS	H	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Gary Sanchez	3/3	TOR @ MIL	RBI	1.3	0.9	0.5	48	OVER	+0.4	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Dillon Dingler ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ DET	RBI	1.3	0.7	0.7	47	OVER	+0.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jackson Merrill	3/3	SEA @ SD	RBI	1.3	0.7	0.7	47	OVER	+0.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jake Burger	3/3	TEX @ OAK	H	1.3	0.7	0.7	47	OVER	+0.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Victor Caratini	3/3	BOS @ MIN	RBI	1.3	0.7	0.7	47	OVER	+0.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Yoan Moncada	3/3	LAA @ NYY	H	1.3	0.7	0.7	47	OVER	+0.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Carlos Correa	3/3	COL @ HOU	H	1.7	1.2	0.9	47	OVER	+0.5	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Edmundo Sosa	3/3	CHC @ PHI	H	1.3	0.6	0.8	46	OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Gavin Sheets ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ SD	HR	0.7	0.2	0.5	46	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Jake Burger	3/3	TEX @ OAK	HR	0.7	0.2	0.5	46	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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