Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Mar 17 – Apr 15 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

20%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1270

MLB

Top Over

Brandon Lowe

RBI • +3.0 • 100

Top Under

Gunnar Henderson

HR • -0.5 • 73

Top Fade

Alec Burleson

HR • -0.2 • 18

Top 1

Brandon Lowe

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.6 | Edge: +3.0

Top 2

Mike Trout

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Ryan Jeffers

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Brandon Lowe

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +0.8

Top 5

Dominic Smith

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.6

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Xavier Edwards	3/3	MIA @ ATL	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Yainer Diaz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ HOU	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Yandy Diaz	3/3	TB @ CWS	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Yoan Moncada	3/3	LAA @ NYY	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Zach Mckinstry	3/3	KC @ DET	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Zach Neto	3/3	LAA @ NYY	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Will Smith	3/3	NYM @ LAD	H	0.7	1.1	0.8	26	UNDER	-0.4	-0.1	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ben Rice	3/3	LAA @ NYY	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Corey Seager	3/3	TEX @ OAK	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Edouard Julien	3/3	COL @ HOU	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Evan Carter	3/3	TEX @ OAK	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Joey Ortiz	3/3	TOR @ MIL	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Keibert Ruiz	3/3	WSH @ PIT	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Lawrence Butler	3/3	TEX @ OAK	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Maikel Garcia	3/3	KC @ DET	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nolan Gorman	3/3	CLE @ STL	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Owen Caissie	3/3	MIA @ ATL	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Patrick Bailey ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SF @ CIN	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Randy Arozarena	3/3	SEA @ SD	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tristan Peters	3/3	TB @ CWS	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Troy Johnston ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ HOU	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Cam Smith	3/3	COL @ HOU	H	0.7	1.2	0.7	25	UNDER	-0.5	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jordan Walker	3/3	CLE @ STL	RBI	0.7	1.2	0.7	25	UNDER	-0.5	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nick Castellanos ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ SD	H	0.3	0.7	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.4	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Andres Gimenez	3/3	TOR @ MIL	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ben Rice	3/3	LAA @ NYY	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ben Williamson	3/3	TB @ CWS	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Brady House ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ PIT	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Dillon Dingler ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ DET	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Hunter Goodman	3/3	COL @ HOU	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jake Bauers	3/3	TOR @ MIL	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jj Wetherholt	3/3	CLE @ STL	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jorge Barrosa	3/3	AZ @ BAL	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Josh Naylor	3/3	SEA @ SD	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Kerry Carpenter ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ DET	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Mickey Moniak	3/3	COL @ HOU	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	SEA @ SD	RBI	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Christian Walker	3/3	COL @ HOU	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
James Wood	3/3	WSH @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jorge Soler ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ NYY	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Shohei Ohtani	3/3	NYM @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Alec Bohm	3/3	CHC @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alek Thomas ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alex Bregman	3/3	CHC @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alex Freeland ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andrew Benintendi	3/3	TB @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andruw Monasterio	3/3	BOS @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Martin ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Riley	3/3	MIA @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ben Williamson	3/3	TB @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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