Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1270

MLB

Top Over

Brandon Lowe

RBI • +3.0 • 100

Top Under

Gunnar Henderson

HR • -0.5 • 73

Top Fade

Alec Burleson

HR • -0.2 • 18

Top 1

Brandon Lowe

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.6 | Edge: +3.0

Top 2

Mike Trout

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Ryan Jeffers

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Brandon Lowe

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +0.8

Top 5

Dominic Smith

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.6

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Randal Grichuk	3/3	LAA @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Randal Grichuk	3/3	LAA @ NYY	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Teoscar Hernandez	3/3	NYM @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Teoscar Hernandez	3/3	NYM @ LAD	RBI	1.0	1.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	+0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Will Benson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ CIN	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Will Benson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryce Harper	3/3	CHC @ PHI	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Jorge Soler ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ NYY	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Xavier Edwards	3/3	MIA @ ATL	H	1.0	0.9	1.3	6	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jacob Wilson	3/3	TEX @ OAK	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Josh Jung	3/3	TEX @ OAK	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Josh Lowe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ NYY	H	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nasim Nunez	3/3	WSH @ PIT	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Sal Stewart	3/3	SF @ CIN	H	0.7	0.9	0.9	4	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yandy Diaz	3/3	TB @ CWS	H	1.3	1.1	1.1	4	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Riley	3/3	MIA @ ATL	H	1.0	0.8	0.8	2	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Willy Adames	3/3	SF @ CIN	H	1.0	1.2	1.2	2	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ivan Herrera	3/3	CLE @ STL	H	1.0	0.7	1.1	1	WATCH	+0.3	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Marsh	3/3	CHC @ PHI	RBI	0.7	0.9	0.5	1	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jose Fernandez	3/3	AZ @ BAL	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.8	1	WATCH	+0.3	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Miguel Amaya	3/3	CHC @ PHI	H	0.7	0.4	0.8	1	WATCH	+0.3	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Randal Grichuk	3/3	LAA @ NYY	H	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Joey Loperfido	3/3	COL @ HOU	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Wells	3/3	LAA @ NYY	H	0.7	0.5	0.8	0	WATCH	+0.2	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Corbin Carroll	3/3	AZ @ BAL	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Heliot Ramos	3/3	SF @ CIN	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Isaac Paredes	3/3	COL @ HOU	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nico Hoerner	3/3	CHC @ PHI	RBI	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Trevor Story	3/3	BOS @ MIN	RBI	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryson Stott ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ PHI	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Michael Busch ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ PHI	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bobby Witt Jr.	3/3	KC @ DET	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brady House ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ PIT	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carson Benge ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ LAD	H	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Colson Montgomery	3/3	TB @ CWS	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Heliot Ramos	3/3	SF @ CIN	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jacob Young ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ PIT	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Michael Harris Ii	3/3	MIA @ ATL	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ryan Mcmahon	3/3	LAA @ NYY	H	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Spencer Steer	3/3	SF @ CIN	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Steven Kwan	3/3	CLE @ STL	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Trent Grisham	3/3	LAA @ NYY	H	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Victor Scott Ii	3/3	CLE @ STL	H	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Vinnie Pasquantino	3/3	KC @ DET	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jonathan Aranda	3/3	TB @ CWS	RBI	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Fortes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ CWS	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Spencer Steer	3/3	SF @ CIN	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yainer Diaz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ HOU	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yordan Alvarez	3/3	COL @ HOU	RBI	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Adam Frazier	3/3	LAA @ NYY	H	0.7	0.6	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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