Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1278

MLB

Top Over

Nico Hoerner

RBI • +2.0 • 96

Top Under

Gunnar Henderson

HR • -0.5 • 73

Top Fade

Jo Adell

H • +0.6 • 21

Top 1

Nico Hoerner

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Jacob Wilson

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.3

Top 3

Dillon Dingler

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.3

Top 4

Sal Stewart

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 90 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.6

Top 5

Byron Buxton

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +0.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Cj Abrams	3/3	SF @ WSH	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Daulton Varsho	3/3	TOR @ AZ	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Elly De La Cruz	3/3	CIN @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jake Bauers	3/3	MIL @ MIA	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jake Burger	3/3	TEX @ SEA	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Matt Olson	3/3	ATL @ PHI	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Samuel Basallo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ CLE	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	SD @ LAA	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Yordan Alvarez	3/3	STL @ HOU	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ben Williamson	3/3	TB @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Marsh ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ PHI	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Francisco Alvarez	3/3	NYM @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Freddy Fermin ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SD @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Henry Davis	3/3	TB @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Hunter Feduccia ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jonathan India	3/3	KC @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Campusano	3/3	SD @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Allen	3/3	STL @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Allen	3/3	STL @ HOU	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Reese Mcguire ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CWS @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Teoscar Hernandez	3/3	LAD @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyler Freeman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ryan Jeffers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ MIN	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Trea Turner	3/3	ATL @ PHI	H	1.0	0.9	1.3	6	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Alec Bohm	3/3	ATL @ PHI	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ben Rice	3/3	KC @ NYY	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Luis Garcia Jr.	3/3	SF @ WSH	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Munetaka Murakami	3/3	CWS @ OAK	H	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3/3	TOR @ AZ	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Richie Palacios	3/3	TB @ PIT	H	1.0	0.7	0.8	4	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Reese Mcguire ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CWS @ OAK	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Richie Palacios	3/3	TB @ PIT	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.8	1	WATCH	+0.3	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Angel Martinez	3/3	BAL @ CLE	RBI	0.7	0.9	0.8	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jonathan India	3/3	KC @ NYY	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Allen	3/3	STL @ HOU	H	0.7	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andy Pages	3/3	LAD @ COL	RBI	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Riley	3/3	ATL @ PHI	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Lowe	3/3	TB @ PIT	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brooks Lee	3/3	CIN @ MIN	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jeremiah Jackson	3/3	BAL @ CLE	RBI	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jose Fernandez	3/3	TOR @ AZ	H	1.0	1.1	0.8	0	WATCH	-0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ketel Marte ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ AZ	H	1.0	1.0	1.3	0	WATCH	0.0	-0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Lenyn Sosa	3/3	TOR @ AZ	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Riley Greene	3/3	DET @ BOS	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ryan O'hearn	3/3	TB @ PIT	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Willy Adames	3/3	SF @ WSH	H	1.0	1.2	1.1	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Freddy Fermin ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SD @ LAA	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Hunter Feduccia ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ PIT	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andres Gimenez	3/3	TOR @ AZ	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Slater ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ MIA	H	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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