Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1287

MLB

Top Over

Nico Hoerner

RBI • +2.6 • 100

Top Under

Jordan Walker

HR • -0.5 • 83

Top Fade

Nathan Lukes

H • -1.0 • 31

Top 1

Nico Hoerner

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +2.6

Top 2

Nico Hoerner

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Austin Riley

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +0.5

Top 4

Jo Adell

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 88 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Wyatt Langford

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 88 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Everson Pereira	3/3	CWS @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Francisco Alvarez	3/3	NYM @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Freddy Fermin ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SD @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Henry Davis	3/3	TB @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Cronenworth	3/3	SD @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Mccarthy ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Javier Sanoja ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ MIA	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jorge Mateo ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	ATL @ PHI	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jose Fernandez	3/3	TOR @ AZ	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Keibert Ruiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ WSH	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Leo Rivas ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ SEA	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mike Yastrzemski ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ PHI	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Castellanos ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SD @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Gonzales	3/3	TB @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Yorke ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ PIT	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Yorke ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Pedro Pages ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ramon Urias ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Randal Grichuk ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	KC @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Randal Grichuk ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	KC @ NYY	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Reese Mcguire ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CWS @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Teoscar Hernandez	3/3	LAD @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyler Freeman ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	LAD @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyler Heineman	3/3	TOR @ AZ	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyrone Taylor ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Connor Norby	3/3	MIL @ MIA	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Nolan Arenado	3/3	TOR @ AZ	RBI	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Trevor Story	3/3	DET @ BOS	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Andruw Monasterio ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ BOS	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Byron Buxton	3/3	CIN @ MIN	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Giancarlo Stanton	3/3	KC @ NYY	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Masyn Winn	3/3	STL @ HOU	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Miguel Vargas	3/3	CWS @ OAK	H	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ozzie Albies	3/3	ATL @ PHI	H	0.7	0.9	0.9	4	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brendan Donovan ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ SEA	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Francisco Alvarez	3/3	NYM @ CHC	H	0.7	0.9	0.5	1	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Randal Grichuk ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	KC @ NYY	H	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Reese Mcguire ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CWS @ OAK	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyler Heineman	3/3	TOR @ AZ	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Campusano ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ LAA	H	0.7	0.9	0.8	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Cronenworth	3/3	SD @ LAA	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Mccarthy ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ COL	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Wells ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	KC @ NYY	H	0.7	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jose Fernandez	3/3	TOR @ AZ	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Gonzales	3/3	TB @ PIT	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bobby Witt Jr.	3/3	KC @ NYY	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Graham Pauley ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ MIA	H	0.7	0.5	0.8	0	WATCH	+0.2	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ian Happ	3/3	NYM @ CHC	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Javier Sanoja ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ MIA	H	0.7	0.8	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Liam Hicks	3/3	MIL @ MIA	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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