Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Apr 12 – Apr 18 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1287

MLB

Top Over

Nico Hoerner

RBI • +2.6 • 100

Top Under

Jordan Walker

HR • -0.5 • 83

Top Fade

Nathan Lukes

H • -1.0 • 31

Top 1

Nico Hoerner

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +2.6

Top 2

Nico Hoerner

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Austin Riley

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +0.5

Top 4

Jo Adell

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 88 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Wyatt Langford

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 88 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Michael Harris Ii	3/3	ATL @ PHI	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.8	10	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Tucker	3/3	LAD @ COL	H	1.0	0.8	1.3	9	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Matt Olson	3/3	ATL @ PHI	H	1.0	1.2	0.7	9	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Ronald Acuna Jr.	3/3	ATL @ PHI	H	1.0	1.2	0.7	9	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Alek Thomas ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ AZ	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Alex Freeland	3/3	LAD @ COL	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Andrew Benintendi	3/3	CWS @ OAK	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brandon Lockridge ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ MIA	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Isaac Collins ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	KC @ NYY	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jake Fraley	3/3	TB @ PIT	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jakob Marsee	3/3	MIL @ MIA	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Joey Loperfido ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ HOU	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jose Altuve	3/3	STL @ HOU	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Isbel	3/3	KC @ NYY	H	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Manzardo	3/3	BAL @ CLE	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Maikel Garcia	3/3	KC @ NYY	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Spencer Horwitz	3/3	TB @ PIT	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Wyatt Langford	3/3	TEX @ SEA	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Pedro Pages ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ HOU	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.8	8	FADE OVER	+0.4	-0.1	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
James Wood	3/3	SF @ WSH	H	1.0	1.4	0.9	8	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.1	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Austin Martin	3/3	CIN @ MIN	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bo Naylor ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ CLE	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Marcus Semien	3/3	NYM @ CHC	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Colt Keith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ BOS	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Luis Garcia Jr.	3/3	SF @ WSH	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Luisangel Acuna ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ OAK	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nick Fortes	3/3	TB @ PIT	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Samuel Basallo	3/3	BAL @ CLE	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Spencer Torkelson	3/3	DET @ BOS	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Victor Scott Ii	3/3	STL @ HOU	H	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brandon Nimmo	3/3	TEX @ SEA	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brooks Lee	3/3	CIN @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Dansby Swanson	3/3	NYM @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Elly De La Cruz	3/3	CIN @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jake Burger	3/3	TEX @ SEA	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
James Wood	3/3	SF @ WSH	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jose Ramirez	3/3	BAL @ CLE	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kerry Carpenter ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ BOS	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Matt Olson	3/3	ATL @ PHI	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nolan Arenado	3/3	TOR @ AZ	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Oswald Peraza	3/3	SD @ LAA	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	SD @ LAA	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ben Rice	3/3	KC @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Marsh ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ PHI	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brendan Donovan ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ SEA	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryce Johnson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Daulton Varsho ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ AZ	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Davis Schneider	3/3	TOR @ AZ	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Drew Millas ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ WSH	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Edgar Quero	3/3	CWS @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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