Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Mar 21 – Apr 19 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

20%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1207

MLB

Top Over

Carson Kelly

RBI • +1.5 • 100

Top Under

Jordan Walker

HR • -0.5 • 78

Top Fade

Nathan Lukes

H • -0.2 • 24

Top 1

Carson Kelly

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.5

Top 2

Nick Kurtz

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Wyatt Langford

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.8

Top 4

Jo Adell

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Josh Jung

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 94 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +2.2

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	SD @ LAA	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Xavier Edwards	3/3	MIL @ MIA	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Yainer Diaz ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	STL @ HOU	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Yandy Diaz	3/3	TB @ PIT	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Yoan Moncada	3/3	SD @ LAA	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Yordan Alvarez	3/3	STL @ HOU	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Zach Neto	3/3	SD @ LAA	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Aaron Judge	3/3	KC @ NYY	RBI	0.3	0.7	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.4	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jakob Marsee	3/3	MIL @ MIA	H	0.3	0.7	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.4	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jesus Sanchez	3/3	TOR @ AZ	RBI	0.3	0.7	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.4	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jonathan Aranda	3/3	TB @ PIT	RBI	0.3	0.7	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.4	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jordan Walker	3/3	STL @ HOU	RBI	0.3	0.7	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.4	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Spencer Steer	3/3	CIN @ MIN	H	0.3	0.7	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.4	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Victor Caratini ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ MIN	H	0.3	0.7	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.4	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Alek Thomas ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ AZ	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.5	25	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Cole Young	3/3	TEX @ SEA	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.5	25	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
David Fry ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BAL @ CLE	H	0.7	0.3	0.5	25	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Daylen Lile ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ WSH	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.5	25	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Hyeseong Kim	3/3	LAD @ COL	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.5	25	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Joey Bart ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ PIT	H	0.7	0.3	0.5	25	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Miguel Vargas	3/3	CWS @ OAK	H	0.7	0.3	0.5	25	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Pedro Pages ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ HOU	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.5	25	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Tyler Stephenson	3/3	CIN @ MIN	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.5	25	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Hunter Goodman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ COL	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Nathan Lukes	3/3	TOR @ AZ	H	1.3	0.4	1.5	24	FADE OVER	+0.9	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Adolis Garcia	3/3	ATL @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Bohm	3/3	ATL @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alek Thomas ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alex Bregman	3/3	NYM @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alex Freeland	3/3	LAD @ COL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andruw Monasterio ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andy Ibanez	3/3	CWS @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Hedges ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BAL @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Billy Cook	3/3	TB @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Blaze Alexander ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bobby Witt Jr.	3/3	KC @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brady House	3/3	SF @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Lockridge ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brett Baty	3/3	NYM @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryson Stott ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	ATL @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Caleb Durbin	3/3	DET @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cam Smith	3/3	STL @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carlos Correa	3/3	STL @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carlos Narvaez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	DET @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carson Benge	3/3	NYM @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	DET @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Chandler Simpson	3/3	TB @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Chase Meidroth	3/3	CWS @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Coby Mayo	3/3	BAL @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cole Young	3/3	TEX @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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