Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1207

MLB

Top Over

Carson Kelly

RBI • +1.5 • 100

Top Under

Jordan Walker

HR • -0.5 • 78

Top Fade

Nathan Lukes

H • -0.2 • 24

Top 1

Carson Kelly

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.5

Top 2

Nick Kurtz

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Wyatt Langford

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.8

Top 4

Jo Adell

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Josh Jung

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 94 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +2.2

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Carson Kelly	3/3	NYM @ CHC	RBI	2.0	0.7	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+1.3	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Nick Kurtz	3/3	CWS @ OAK	RBI	2.0	0.7	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+1.3	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Wyatt Langford	3/3	TEX @ SEA	H	2.3	1.2	0.5	95	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	Jo Adell	3/3	SD @ LAA	RBI	2.0	0.9	0.5	95	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Josh Jung	3/3	TEX @ SEA	H	2.7	1.6	0.5	94	TOP OVER	+1.1	+2.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Heliot Ramos	3/3	SF @ WSH	RBI	2.0	1.1	0.5	89	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Marcell Ozuna	3/3	TB @ PIT	H	2.0	1.1	0.5	89	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Austin Riley	3/3	ATL @ PHI	HR	1.0	0.3	0.5	89	TOP OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Nico Hoerner	3/3	NYM @ CHC	RBI	2.3	1.5	0.5	88	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Austin Riley	3/3	ATL @ PHI	RBI	2.0	1.2	0.5	87	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Matt Chapman	3/3	SF @ WSH	RBI	1.7	0.6	0.5	83	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Ben Rice	3/3	KC @ NYY	HR	1.0	0.4	0.5	83	TOP OVER	+0.6	+0.5	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jonny Deluca ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ PIT	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.5	80	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Marcell Ozuna	3/3	TB @ PIT	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.5	80	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Munetaka Murakami	3/3	CWS @ OAK	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.5	80	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Nathan Church	3/3	STL @ HOU	H	1.7	0.7	0.5	80	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Nolan Gorman	3/3	STL @ HOU	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.5	80	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Cody Bellinger	3/3	KC @ NYY	RBI	1.7	0.8	0.5	78	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Corbin Carroll	3/3	TOR @ AZ	RBI	1.7	0.8	0.5	78	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jordan Walker	3/3	STL @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.5	0.5	78	TOP UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Sal Stewart	3/3	CIN @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.5	0.5	78	TOP UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jung Hoo Lee	3/3	SF @ WSH	H	2.0	1.3	0.5	76	OVER	+0.7	+1.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Miguel Andujar ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ LAA	H	2.0	1.3	0.5	76	OVER	+0.7	+1.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Otto Lopez	3/3	MIL @ MIA	H	2.0	1.3	0.5	76	OVER	+0.7	+1.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Austin Riley	3/3	ATL @ PHI	H	2.0	1.4	0.5	74	OVER	+0.6	+1.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Matt Chapman	3/3	SF @ WSH	H	2.0	1.4	0.5	74	OVER	+0.6	+1.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Alec Burleson	3/3	STL @ HOU	H	2.0	1.5	0.5	71	OVER	+0.5	+1.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Masyn Winn	3/3	STL @ HOU	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.5	69	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Salvador Perez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ NYY	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.5	69	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Brooks Lee	3/3	CIN @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Byron Buxton	3/3	CIN @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Elly De La Cruz	3/3	CIN @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Gary Sanchez	3/3	MIL @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jake Bauers	3/3	MIL @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jake Burger	3/3	TEX @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ketel Marte	3/3	TOR @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Kyle Schwarber	3/3	ATL @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Wenceel Perez	3/3	DET @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Xander Bogaerts	3/3	SD @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Nick Kurtz	3/3	CWS @ OAK	H	1.7	0.9	0.5	67	OVER	+0.8	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Geraldo Perdomo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ AZ	H	1.7	1.0	0.5	65	OVER	+0.7	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jose Caballero	3/3	KC @ NYY	H	1.7	1.0	0.5	65	OVER	+0.7	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Junior Caminero	3/3	TB @ PIT	H	1.7	1.0	0.5	65	OVER	+0.7	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Cody Bellinger	3/3	KC @ NYY	H	1.7	1.1	0.5	62	OVER	+0.6	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Daniel Schneemann	3/3	BAL @ CLE	H	1.7	1.1	0.5	62	OVER	+0.6	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Dominic Smith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ PHI	H	1.7	1.1	0.5	62	OVER	+0.6	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Dominic Smith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ PHI	RBI	1.7	1.1	0.5	62	OVER	+0.6	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Dalton Rushing ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ COL	RBI	1.7	1.2	0.5	59	OVER	+0.5	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Daylen Lile ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ WSH	H	1.7	1.2	0.5	59	OVER	+0.5	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Chase Meidroth	3/3	CWS @ OAK	H	1.7	0.9	0.8	58	OVER	+0.8	+0.9	Positive trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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