Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Apr 21 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

50%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1289

MLB

Top Over

Munetaka Murakami

RBI • +1.6 • 100

Top Under

Jackson Merrill

H • -1.2 • 82

Top Fade

Brandon Lowe

RBI • +0.5 • 20

Top 1

Munetaka Murakami

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.6

Top 2

Nathan Lukes

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 97 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +1.2

Top 3

Brayan Rocchio

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Wyatt Langford

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.8

Top 5

Matt Chapman

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Taylor Walls	3/3	CIN @ TB	H	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
Andrew Benintendi	3/3	CWS @ AZ	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
Isaac Paredes	3/3	HOU @ CLE	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
Jahmai Jones	3/3	MIL @ DET	H	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	TOR @ LAA	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
Matt Chapman	3/3	LAD @ SF	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
Carlos Cortes	3/3	OAK @ SEA	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Geraldo Perdomo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ AZ	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Josh Bell	3/3	MIN @ NYM	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Tucker ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ SF	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3/3	TOR @ LAA	H	2.3	1.8	1.3	57	OVER	+0.5	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Cody Bellinger	3/3	NYY @ BOS	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Heliot Ramos	3/3	LAD @ SF	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Andy Pages	3/3	LAD @ SF	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Bryce Harper	3/3	PHI @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Cj Abrams	3/3	ATL @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Corey Seager	3/3	PIT @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Evan Carter	3/3	PIT @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Gary Sanchez	3/3	MIL @ DET	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Gavin Sheets	3/3	SD @ COL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ivan Herrera	3/3	STL @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jj Wetherholt	3/3	STL @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jo Adell	3/3	TOR @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Josh Naylor ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Kody Clemens	3/3	MIN @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Nico Hoerner	3/3	PHI @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Otto Lopez	3/3	STL @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ramon Laureano	3/3	SD @ COL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ryan Jeffers	3/3	MIN @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Shohei Ohtani	3/3	LAD @ SF	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Spencer Steer	3/3	CIN @ TB	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Teoscar Hernandez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ SF	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Trea Turner	3/3	PHI @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Tyler Soderstrom	3/3	OAK @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Vinnie Pasquantino	3/3	BAL @ KC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Willy Adames	3/3	LAD @ SF	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	SD @ COL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jo Adell	3/3	TOR @ LAA	H	0.3	1.1	1.1	54	UNDER	-0.8	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
William Contreras	3/3	MIL @ DET	H	0.3	1.1	1.1	54	UNDER	-0.8	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Josh Jung	3/3	PIT @ TEX	H	1.7	1.4	0.5	54	OVER	+0.3	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ben Rice	3/3	NYY @ BOS	RBI	1.3	0.7	0.5	53	OVER	+0.6	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Spencer Horwitz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ TEX	H	1.3	0.7	0.5	53	OVER	+0.6	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Kevin Mcgonigle ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ DET	H	1.7	1.2	0.7	53	OVER	+0.5	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Cam Smith	3/3	HOU @ CLE	H	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Daulton Varsho ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ LAA	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.8	51	UNDER	-0.6	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jackson Merrill	3/3	SD @ COL	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.8	51	UNDER	-0.6	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jake Bauers	3/3	MIL @ DET	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jose Caballero	3/3	NYY @ BOS	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Manny Machado	3/3	SD @ COL	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.8	51	UNDER	-0.6	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Paul Goldschmidt ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYY @ BOS	TB	0.0	0.2	1.5	49	UNDER	-0.2	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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