Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Apr 15 – Apr 21 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

50%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1289

MLB

Top Over

Munetaka Murakami

RBI • +1.6 • 100

Top Under

Jackson Merrill

H • -1.2 • 82

Top Fade

Brandon Lowe

RBI • +0.5 • 20

Top 1

Munetaka Murakami

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.6

Top 2

Nathan Lukes

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 97 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +1.2

Top 3

Brayan Rocchio

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Wyatt Langford

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.8

Top 5

Matt Chapman

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Luke Keaschall	3/3	MIN @ NYM	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Matt Shaw	3/3	PHI @ CHC	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Pedro Pages ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ MIA	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Shohei Ohtani	3/3	LAD @ SF	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Wilyer Abreu	3/3	NYY @ BOS	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Zach Neto	3/3	TOR @ LAA	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brandon Nimmo	3/3	PIT @ TEX	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brice Turang	3/3	MIL @ DET	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Dillon Dingler	3/3	MIL @ DET	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
James Wood	3/3	ATL @ WSH	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Junior Caminero	3/3	CIN @ TB	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Matt Olson	3/3	ATL @ WSH	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Michael Harris Ii	3/3	ATL @ WSH	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Mickey Moniak ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ COL	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nolan Arenado	3/3	CWS @ AZ	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ben Rice	3/3	NYY @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Lowe ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PIT @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Marsh	3/3	PHI @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Nimmo	3/3	PIT @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brenton Doyle	3/3	SD @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	PIT @ TEX	RBI	1.0	1.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	+0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	PIT @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carlos Narvaez	3/3	NYY @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Corey Seager	3/3	PIT @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Danny Jansen ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ TEX	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Danny Jansen ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
David Hamilton ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ DET	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Drew Millas ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ WSH	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Evan Carter	3/3	PIT @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Francisco Alvarez	3/3	MIN @ NYM	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Gavin Sheets	3/3	SD @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Henry Davis ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ TEX	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Henry Davis ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
J.t. Realmuto ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PHI @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Burger	3/3	PIT @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Mccarthy ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SD @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
James Outman	3/3	MIN @ NYM	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
James Outman	3/3	MIN @ NYM	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Joc Pederson	3/3	PIT @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jorge Mateo ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	ATL @ WSH	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Josh Jung	3/3	PIT @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Josh Smith	3/3	PIT @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Konnor Griffin	3/3	PIT @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kyle Higashioka ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Rengifo	3/3	MIL @ DET	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Marcell Ozuna	3/3	PIT @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Miguel Amaya ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PHI @ CHC	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Miguel Amaya ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PHI @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Myles Straw	3/3	TOR @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Gonzales	3/3	PIT @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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