Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Apr 9 – Apr 22 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

50%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1273

MLB

Top Over

Brice Turang

RBI • +1.6 • 98

Top Under

Jackson Merrill

H • -1.3 • 86

Top Fade

Jung Hoo Lee

H • +0.6 • 19

Top 1

Brice Turang

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.6

Top 2

Brayan Rocchio

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Carlos Cortes

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 86 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.3

Top 4

Jackson Merrill

H • TOP UNDER
Conf: 86 | Trend: -1.0 | Edge: -1.3

Top 5

Elly De La Cruz

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 83 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Matt Olson	3/3	ATL @ WSH	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Spencer Horwitz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ TEX	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Willson Contreras	3/3	NYY @ BOS	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Casey Schmitt	3/3	LAD @ SF	H	1.0	1.3	0.7	11	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Shea Langeliers	3/3	OAK @ SEA	H	1.0	1.3	0.7	11	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Amed Rosario	3/3	NYY @ BOS	H	1.0	0.8	1.3	9	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Dominic Smith ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	ATL @ WSH	H	1.0	1.2	0.7	9	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Jeremiah Jackson	3/3	BAL @ KC	H	1.0	1.2	0.7	9	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Kyle Manzardo	3/3	HOU @ CLE	H	1.0	1.2	0.7	9	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Randy Arozarena	3/3	OAK @ SEA	H	1.0	1.2	0.7	9	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Austin Wells	3/3	NYY @ BOS	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brandon Lockridge ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ DET	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jac Caglianone	3/3	BAL @ KC	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jakob Marsee	3/3	STL @ MIA	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jeff Mcneil	3/3	OAK @ SEA	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jose Altuve	3/3	HOU @ CLE	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jose Fermin ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ MIA	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Karros	3/3	SD @ COL	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Mark Vientos	3/3	MIN @ NYM	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Roman Anthony ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ BOS	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Shohei Ohtani	3/3	LAD @ SF	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Wenceel Perez	3/3	MIL @ DET	H	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Wilyer Abreu	3/3	NYY @ BOS	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Dylan Beavers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ KC	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.8	8	FADE OVER	+0.4	-0.1	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Isiah Kiner-falefa ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ BOS	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Juan Brito ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ CLE	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nick Yorke ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ TEX	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Sal Frelick	3/3	MIL @ DET	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Alec Bohm	3/3	PHI @ CHC	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Andres Gimenez	3/3	TOR @ LAA	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bo Naylor	3/3	HOU @ CLE	H	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bo Naylor	3/3	HOU @ CLE	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Cam Smith	3/3	HOU @ CLE	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Juan Brito ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ CLE	H	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Luisangel Acuna ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ AZ	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Maikel Garcia	3/3	BAL @ KC	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Matt Wallner ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ NYM	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ramon Urias ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ MIA	H	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Spencer Steer	3/3	CIN @ TB	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tyler Soderstrom	3/3	OAK @ SEA	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Zach Neto	3/3	TOR @ LAA	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brice Turang	3/3	MIL @ DET	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bryce Harper	3/3	PHI @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Dillon Dingler ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ DET	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Junior Caminero	3/3	CIN @ TB	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Michael Harris Ii	3/3	ATL @ WSH	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Mickey Moniak ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ COL	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nick Kurtz	3/3	OAK @ SEA	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nico Hoerner	3/3	PHI @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Spencer Steer	3/3	CIN @ TB	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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