Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Apr 23 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

812

MLB

Top Over

Ildemaro Vargas

RBI • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Ramon Laureano

H • -1.3 • 86

Top Fade

Alek Thomas

HR • -0.2 • 18

Top 1

Ildemaro Vargas

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Geraldo Perdomo

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Munetaka Murakami

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Ramon Laureano

H • TOP UNDER
Conf: 86 | Trend: -1.0 | Edge: -1.3

Top 5

Colson Montgomery

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 83 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Freddie Freeman	3/3	LAD @ SF	H	1.3	1.2	0.7	34	OVER	+0.1	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Heliot Ramos	3/3	LAD @ SF	H	1.3	1.2	0.7	34	OVER	+0.1	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Evan Carter	3/3	PIT @ TEX	H	1.0	0.5	0.7	33	OVER	+0.5	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Keibert Ruiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ WSH	H	1.0	0.5	0.7	33	OVER	+0.5	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Kody Clemens	3/3	MIN @ NYM	H	1.0	0.5	0.7	33	OVER	+0.5	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ryan O'hearn	3/3	PIT @ TEX	RBI	1.0	0.5	0.7	33	OVER	+0.5	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Tj Rumfield	3/3	SD @ COL	RBI	1.0	0.5	0.7	33	OVER	+0.5	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Brenton Doyle	3/3	SD @ COL	H	0.3	0.6	0.8	32	UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Fernando Tatis Jr.	3/3	SD @ COL	TB	0.0	0.0	1.7	31	WATCH	0.0	-1.7	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Jackson Merrill	3/3	SD @ COL	TB	0.0	0.0	1.7	31	WATCH	0.0	-1.7	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Mickey Moniak	3/3	SD @ COL	TB	0.0	0.0	1.7	31	WATCH	0.0	-1.7	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Ramon Laureano	3/3	SD @ COL	TB	0.0	0.0	1.7	31	WATCH	0.0	-1.7	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Ronald Acuna Jr.	3/3	ATL @ WSH	TB	0.0	0.0	1.7	31	WATCH	0.0	-1.7	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Andy Pages	3/3	LAD @ SF	H	0.3	0.7	0.7	31	UNDER	-0.4	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Dansby Swanson	3/3	PHI @ CHC	H	0.3	0.7	0.7	31	UNDER	-0.4	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jackson Merrill	3/3	SD @ COL	RBI	0.3	0.7	0.7	31	UNDER	-0.4	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jarren Duran	3/3	NYY @ BOS	RBI	0.3	0.7	0.7	31	UNDER	-0.4	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kerry Carpenter	3/3	MIL @ DET	H	0.3	0.7	0.7	31	UNDER	-0.4	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Mike Yastrzemski	3/3	ATL @ WSH	H	0.3	0.7	0.7	31	UNDER	-0.4	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Everson Pereira	3/3	CWS @ AZ	H	1.3	1.3	0.7	31	OVER	+0.0	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ildemaro Vargas	3/3	CWS @ AZ	H	1.3	1.3	0.7	31	OVER	+0.0	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jose Fernandez	3/3	CWS @ AZ	H	1.3	1.2	0.8	31	OVER	+0.1	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Byron Buxton	3/3	MIN @ NYM	RBI	1.0	0.6	0.7	30	OVER	+0.4	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Giancarlo Stanton	3/3	NYY @ BOS	RBI	1.0	0.6	0.7	30	OVER	+0.4	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Luis Rengifo	3/3	MIL @ DET	H	1.0	0.6	0.7	30	OVER	+0.4	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Trevor Larnach	3/3	MIN @ NYM	H	1.0	0.6	0.7	30	OVER	+0.4	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
William Contreras	3/3	MIL @ DET	RBI	1.0	0.6	0.7	30	OVER	+0.4	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Byron Buxton	3/3	MIN @ NYM	HR	0.7	0.5	0.5	30	OVER	+0.2	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Michael Harris Ii	3/3	ATL @ WSH	HR	0.7	0.5	0.5	30	OVER	+0.2	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Andrew Benintendi	3/3	CWS @ AZ	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ben Rice	3/3	NYY @ BOS	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Corbin Carroll	3/3	CWS @ AZ	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Everson Pereira	3/3	CWS @ AZ	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Hyeseong Kim	3/3	LAD @ SF	H	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kerry Carpenter	3/3	MIL @ DET	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Schwarber	3/3	PHI @ CHC	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Luis Robert Jr.	3/3	MIN @ NYM	H	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Manny Machado	3/3	SD @ COL	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	SD @ COL	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brett Baty	3/3	MIN @ NYM	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brett Baty	3/3	MIN @ NYM	H	0.7	0.2	0.5	27	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Adolis Garcia	3/3	PHI @ CHC	H	1.0	0.7	0.7	27	OVER	+0.3	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Carson Kelly ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ CHC	RBI	1.0	0.7	0.7	27	OVER	+0.3	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Gary Sanchez	3/3	MIL @ DET	RBI	1.0	0.7	0.7	27	OVER	+0.3	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Justin Crawford ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ CHC	H	1.0	0.7	0.7	27	OVER	+0.3	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Luis Garcia Jr.	3/3	ATL @ WSH	RBI	1.0	0.7	0.7	27	OVER	+0.3	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Matt Shaw ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ CHC	H	1.0	0.7	0.7	27	OVER	+0.3	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Sal Frelick	3/3	MIL @ DET	H	1.0	0.6	0.8	27	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Joey Bart ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ TEX	H	0.3	0.4	0.8	27	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Luisangel Acuna ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CWS @ AZ	H	0.3	0.4	0.8	27	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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