Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Apr 23 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

812

MLB

Top Over

Ildemaro Vargas

RBI • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Ramon Laureano

H • -1.3 • 86

Top Fade

Alek Thomas

HR • -0.2 • 18

Top 1

Ildemaro Vargas

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Geraldo Perdomo

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Munetaka Murakami

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Ramon Laureano

H • TOP UNDER
Conf: 86 | Trend: -1.0 | Edge: -1.3

Top 5

Colson Montgomery

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 83 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Austin Wells	3/3	NYY @ BOS	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Casey Schmitt ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ SF	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Corey Seager	3/3	PIT @ TEX	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Josh Bell	3/3	MIN @ NYM	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Josh Smith	3/3	PIT @ TEX	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ozzie Albies	3/3	ATL @ WSH	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Wilyer Abreu	3/3	NYY @ BOS	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Cody Bellinger	3/3	NYY @ BOS	H	0.7	1.2	0.7	25	UNDER	-0.5	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jake Burger	3/3	PIT @ TEX	RBI	0.7	1.2	0.7	25	UNDER	-0.5	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Marcell Ozuna	3/3	PIT @ TEX	H	0.7	1.2	0.7	25	UNDER	-0.5	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Francisco Alvarez	3/3	MIN @ NYM	H	0.3	0.7	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.4	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Reese Mcguire ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ AZ	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.5	25	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Fernando Tatis Jr.	3/3	SD @ COL	H	1.0	1.2	1.3	25	UNDER	-0.2	-0.3	Negative trend with market support still in place.
James Wood	3/3	ATL @ WSH	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jarren Duran	3/3	NYY @ BOS	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Javier Baez	3/3	MIL @ DET	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ben Rice	3/3	NYY @ BOS	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Dansby Swanson	3/3	PHI @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Hunter Goodman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ COL	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Kyle Schwarber	3/3	PHI @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Nolan Arenado	3/3	CWS @ AZ	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Adolis Garcia	3/3	PHI @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Bohm	3/3	PHI @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alex Bregman	3/3	PHI @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alex Freeland ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ SF	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Blake Perkins ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ DET	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Lockridge ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ DET	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brenton Doyle	3/3	SD @ COL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brett Baty	3/3	MIN @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	PIT @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryson Stott ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Caleb Durbin	3/3	NYY @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carlos Narvaez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carson Benge	3/3	MIN @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	NYY @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Chase Meidroth	3/3	CWS @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Colt Keith	3/3	MIL @ DET	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Edgar Quero ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ezequiel Duran ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ezequiel Tovar	3/3	SD @ COL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Fernando Tatis Jr.	3/3	SD @ COL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Freddie Freeman	3/3	LAD @ SF	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Freddy Fermin ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ COL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Geraldo Perdomo	3/3	CWS @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Gleyber Torres	3/3	MIL @ DET	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Cronenworth	3/3	SD @ COL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	3/3	NYY @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Joc Pederson	3/3	PIT @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Joey Ortiz	3/3	MIL @ DET	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jorbit Vivas	3/3	ATL @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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