Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Apr 10 – Apr 23 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

50%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

812

MLB

Top Over

Ildemaro Vargas

RBI • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Ramon Laureano

H • -1.3 • 86

Top Fade

Alek Thomas

HR • -0.2 • 18

Top 1

Ildemaro Vargas

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Geraldo Perdomo

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Munetaka Murakami

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Ramon Laureano

H • TOP UNDER
Conf: 86 | Trend: -1.0 | Edge: -1.3

Top 5

Colson Montgomery

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 83 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Matt Olson	3/3	ATL @ WSH	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Alek Thomas ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ AZ	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Michael Busch	3/3	PHI @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nick Yorke ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PIT @ TEX	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Patrick Bailey	3/3	LAD @ SF	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ryan O'hearn	3/3	PIT @ TEX	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Spencer Torkelson	3/3	MIL @ DET	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tj Rumfield	3/3	SD @ COL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brandon Lowe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ TEX	RBI	1.0	1.5	0.7	17	FADE UNDER	-0.5	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Josh Jung	3/3	PIT @ TEX	H	1.0	1.5	0.7	17	FADE UNDER	-0.5	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Brenton Doyle	3/3	SD @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Colson Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ AZ	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ezequiel Tovar	3/3	SD @ COL	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ezequiel Tovar	3/3	SD @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Freddy Fermin ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Randal Grichuk	3/3	NYY @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ryan Jeffers	3/3	MIN @ NYM	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyler Freeman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Michael Harris Ii	3/3	ATL @ WSH	H	1.3	1.4	0.7	16	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.6	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Brenton Doyle	3/3	SD @ COL	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.8	15	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jung Hoo Lee	3/3	LAD @ SF	H	1.0	1.4	0.7	14	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Luis Campusano ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SD @ COL	H	1.0	1.1	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Aaron Judge	3/3	NYY @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Adrian Del Castillo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ AZ	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Bohm	3/3	PHI @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alex Bregman	3/3	PHI @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alex Freeland ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ SF	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Amed Rosario	3/3	NYY @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andrew Benintendi	3/3	CWS @ AZ	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andy Pages	3/3	LAD @ SF	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Riley	3/3	ATL @ WSH	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Wells	3/3	NYY @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ben Rice	3/3	NYY @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Blake Perkins ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ DET	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bo Bichette	3/3	MIN @ NYM	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Lockridge ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ DET	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Lowe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Marsh ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Nimmo	3/3	PIT @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brice Turang	3/3	MIL @ DET	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brooks Lee	3/3	MIN @ NYM	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	PIT @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryce Harper	3/3	PHI @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryson Stott ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Byron Buxton	3/3	MIN @ NYM	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Caleb Durbin	3/3	NYY @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carlos Narvaez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carson Benge	3/3	MIN @ NYM	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carson Benge	3/3	MIN @ NYM	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Casey Schmitt ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ SF	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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