Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Apr 17 – Apr 23 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

50%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

812

MLB

Top Over

Ildemaro Vargas

RBI • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Ramon Laureano

H • -1.3 • 86

Top Fade

Alek Thomas

HR • -0.2 • 18

Top 1

Ildemaro Vargas

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Geraldo Perdomo

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Munetaka Murakami

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Ramon Laureano

H • TOP UNDER
Conf: 86 | Trend: -1.0 | Edge: -1.3

Top 5

Colson Montgomery

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 83 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Jose Fernandez	3/3	CWS @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jose Tena	3/3	ATL @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Josh Bell	3/3	MIN @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Josh Smith	3/3	PIT @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jung Hoo Lee	3/3	LAD @ SF	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Justin Crawford ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Keibert Ruiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Konnor Griffin	3/3	PIT @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Arraez	3/3	LAD @ SF	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Garcia Jr.	3/3	ATL @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Matos ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ DET	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Rengifo	3/3	MIL @ DET	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Robert Jr.	3/3	MIN @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luisangel Acuna ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CWS @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luke Keaschall	3/3	MIN @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Marcelo Mayer ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Marcus Semien	3/3	MIN @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Masataka Yoshida ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Matt Chapman	3/3	LAD @ SF	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Matt Shaw ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Matt Wallner ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mauricio Dubon	3/3	ATL @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Miguel Andujar ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ COL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mike Yastrzemski	3/3	ATL @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nasim Nunez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	PHI @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Rafael Devers	3/3	LAD @ SF	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Randal Grichuk	3/3	NYY @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Riley Greene	3/3	MIL @ DET	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ronald Acuna Jr.	3/3	ATL @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Royce Lewis ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Shohei Ohtani	3/3	LAD @ SF	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tj Rumfield	3/3	SD @ COL	H	1.0	0.6	0.9	24	OVER	+0.4	+0.1	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Troy Johnston	3/3	SD @ COL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Will Smith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ SF	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Wilyer Abreu	3/3	NYY @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Hunter Goodman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ COL	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Keibert Ruiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ WSH	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Carson Kelly ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ CHC	H	0.7	1.1	0.7	22	UNDER	-0.4	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Dominic Smith ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	ATL @ WSH	RBI	0.7	1.1	0.7	22	UNDER	-0.4	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jake Burger	3/3	PIT @ TEX	H	0.7	1.1	0.7	22	UNDER	-0.4	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Masataka Yoshida ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ BOS	H	0.7	1.1	0.7	22	UNDER	-0.4	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Trevor Story	3/3	NYY @ BOS	H	0.7	1.1	0.7	22	UNDER	-0.4	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Willson Contreras	3/3	NYY @ BOS	H	0.7	1.1	0.7	22	UNDER	-0.4	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Colt Keith	3/3	MIL @ DET	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Dansby Swanson	3/3	PHI @ CHC	RBI	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Marcus Semien	3/3	MIN @ NYM	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Spencer Horwitz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ TEX	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Adrian Del Castillo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ AZ	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Bryce Harper	3/3	PHI @ CHC	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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