Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Apr 17 – Apr 23 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

50%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

812

MLB

Top Over

Ildemaro Vargas

RBI • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Ramon Laureano

H • -1.3 • 86

Top Fade

Alek Thomas

HR • -0.2 • 18

Top 1

Ildemaro Vargas

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Geraldo Perdomo

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Munetaka Murakami

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Ramon Laureano

H • TOP UNDER
Conf: 86 | Trend: -1.0 | Edge: -1.3

Top 5

Colson Montgomery

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 83 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	PHI @ CHC	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Rafael Marchan ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ CHC	H	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Spencer Torkelson	3/3	MIL @ DET	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Hunter Goodman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ COL	H	1.3	1.1	1.1	4	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ketel Marte	3/3	CWS @ AZ	H	1.3	1.1	1.1	4	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Campusano ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SD @ COL	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Edgar Quero ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ AZ	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.8	1	WATCH	+0.3	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyler Freeman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ COL	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.8	1	WATCH	+0.3	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Reese Mcguire ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ AZ	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Teoscar Hernandez	3/3	LAD @ SF	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Willi Castro	3/3	SD @ COL	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Trent Grisham	3/3	NYY @ BOS	H	0.7	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Aaron Judge	3/3	NYY @ BOS	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Marsh ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ CHC	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Corbin Carroll	3/3	CWS @ AZ	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Freddy Fermin ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ COL	H	0.7	0.5	0.8	0	WATCH	+0.2	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Oneil Cruz	3/3	PIT @ TEX	RBI	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Teoscar Hernandez	3/3	LAD @ SF	H	0.7	0.8	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Bohm	3/3	PHI @ CHC	H	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alek Thomas ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ AZ	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryce Harper	3/3	PHI @ CHC	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Evan Carter	3/3	PIT @ TEX	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kevin Mcgonigle	3/3	MIL @ DET	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mark Vientos	3/3	MIN @ NYM	H	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Matt Wallner ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ NYM	H	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Riley Greene	3/3	MIL @ DET	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyler Freeman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ COL	H	0.7	0.8	0.8	0	WATCH	-0.1	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Aaron Judge	3/3	NYY @ BOS	RBI	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luke Keaschall	3/3	MIN @ NYM	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Oneil Cruz	3/3	PIT @ TEX	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Troy Johnston	3/3	SD @ COL	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	SD @ COL	H	1.3	1.1	1.3	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Danny Jansen ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ TEX	H	0.7	0.6	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Victor Caratini ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIN @ NYM	H	0.7	0.6	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Francisco Alvarez	3/3	MIN @ NYM	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Mccarthy ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ COL	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jordan Beck ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ COL	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Nimmo	3/3	PIT @ TEX	H	1.0	0.9	0.9	0	WATCH	+0.1	+0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ezequiel Duran ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ TEX	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luke Keaschall	3/3	MIN @ NYM	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nico Hoerner	3/3	PHI @ CHC	H	1.3	1.5	1.3	0	WATCH	-0.2	+0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Spencer Torkelson	3/3	MIL @ DET	H	0.7	0.5	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andrew Benintendi	3/3	CWS @ AZ	H	0.7	0.8	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bo Bichette	3/3	MIN @ NYM	H	0.7	0.8	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jorbit Vivas	3/3	ATL @ WSH	H	0.7	0.7	0.8	0	WATCH	0.0	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Josh Bell	3/3	MIN @ NYM	H	0.7	0.8	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mauricio Dubon	3/3	ATL @ WSH	H	0.7	0.8	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alex Freeland ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ SF	H	0.7	0.6	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Gary Sanchez	3/3	MIL @ DET	H	0.7	0.6	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ian Happ	3/3	PHI @ CHC	RBI	0.7	0.6	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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