Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Apr 24 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1210

MLB

Top Over

Michael Busch

RBI • +1.6 • 100

Top Under

Aaron Judge

HR • -0.5 • 78

Top Fade

Adley Rutschman

HR • -0.2 • 18

Top 1

Michael Busch

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +1.6

Top 2

Carlos Cortes

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Masyn Winn

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Mickey Moniak

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Top 5

Seiya Suzuki

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Spencer Torkelson	3/3	DET @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Starling Marte ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	LAA @ KC	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Starling Marte ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	LAA @ KC	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Steven Kwan	3/3	CLE @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Taylor Walls	3/3	MIN @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Taylor Ward	3/3	BOS @ BAL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tj Rumfield	3/3	COL @ NYM	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Trea Turner	3/3	PHI @ ATL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Trent Grisham	3/3	NYY @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Trevor Larnach	3/3	MIN @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Trevor Story	3/3	BOS @ BAL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Troy Johnston	3/3	COL @ NYM	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyler Soderstrom	3/3	OAK @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyler Stephenson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Victor Scott Ii ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ STL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Vinnie Pasquantino ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ KC	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3/3	CLE @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Will Smith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Willi Castro ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ NYM	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
William Contreras	3/3	PIT @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Willson Contreras	3/3	BOS @ BAL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Willy Adames	3/3	MIA @ SF	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Wilyer Abreu	3/3	BOS @ BAL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Xavier Edwards	3/3	MIA @ SF	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yainer Diaz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yandy Diaz	3/3	MIN @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yordan Alvarez	3/3	NYY @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zach Neto	3/3	LAA @ KC	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zack Gelof	3/3	OAK @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyler Heineman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ TOR	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.8	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Carson Benge	3/3	COL @ NYM	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
David Hamilton	3/3	PIT @ MIL	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	3/3	NYY @ HOU	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ke'bryan Hayes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ CIN	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Lane Thomas ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ KC	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Luis Robert Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ NYM	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Marcelo Mayer ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ BAL	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Matt Mclain	3/3	DET @ CIN	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ronald Acuna Jr.	3/3	PHI @ ATL	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Xavier Edwards	3/3	MIA @ SF	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Andrew Benintendi	3/3	WSH @ CWS	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bryce Harper	3/3	PHI @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Carter Jensen	3/3	LAA @ KC	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Christian Walker	3/3	NYY @ HOU	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Cj Abrams	3/3	WSH @ CWS	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Corey Seager	3/3	OAK @ TEX	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Giancarlo Stanton	3/3	NYY @ HOU	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jahmai Jones	3/3	DET @ CIN	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Leody Taveras	3/3	BOS @ BAL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ozzie Albies	3/3	PHI @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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