Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Apr 11 – Apr 24 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

50%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1210

MLB

Top Over

Michael Busch

RBI • +1.6 • 100

Top Under

Aaron Judge

HR • -0.5 • 78

Top Fade

Adley Rutschman

HR • -0.2 • 18

Top 1

Michael Busch

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +1.6

Top 2

Carlos Cortes

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Masyn Winn

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Mickey Moniak

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Top 5

Seiya Suzuki

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Ryan O'hearn	3/3	PIT @ MIL	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Alex Freeland ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ LAD	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bryce Harper	3/3	PHI @ ATL	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bryce Teodosio	3/3	LAA @ KC	H	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jeff Mcneil	3/3	OAK @ TEX	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Matt Vierling	3/3	DET @ CIN	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	CHC @ LAD	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Danny Jansen ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	OAK @ TEX	H	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Francisco Alvarez	3/3	COL @ NYM	H	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Edgar Quero	3/3	WSH @ CWS	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Francisco Alvarez	3/3	COL @ NYM	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Hunter Feduccia ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIN @ TB	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Chase Delauter	3/3	CLE @ TOR	H	1.0	0.7	1.1	1	WATCH	+0.3	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nico Hoerner	3/3	CHC @ LAD	H	1.0	1.3	1.1	1	WATCH	-0.3	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jorbit Vivas	3/3	WSH @ CWS	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Everson Pereira	3/3	WSH @ CWS	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Gunnar Henderson	3/3	BOS @ BAL	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Miguel Amaya ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ LAD	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Reese Mcguire ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	WSH @ CWS	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Hunter Feduccia ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIN @ TB	H	0.7	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Keibert Ruiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ CWS	H	0.7	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Aaron Judge	3/3	NYY @ HOU	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cj Abrams	3/3	WSH @ CWS	H	0.7	0.8	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ezequiel Duran ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	OAK @ TEX	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.8	0	WATCH	+0.2	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Heliot Ramos	3/3	MIA @ SF	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jacob Wilson	3/3	OAK @ TEX	RBI	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jorbit Vivas	3/3	WSH @ CWS	H	0.7	0.8	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Josh Jung	3/3	OAK @ TEX	RBI	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Marcus Semien	3/3	COL @ NYM	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mike Trout	3/3	LAA @ KC	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nathan Lukes	3/3	CLE @ TOR	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Rafael Devers	3/3	MIA @ SF	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Hyeseong Kim	3/3	CHC @ LAD	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Isaac Paredes	3/3	NYY @ HOU	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kevin Mcgonigle	3/3	DET @ CIN	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kyle Manzardo	3/3	CLE @ TOR	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Lawrence Butler	3/3	OAK @ TEX	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Leo Rivas	3/3	SEA @ STL	H	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mark Vientos	3/3	COL @ NYM	H	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Matt Wallner ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ TB	H	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nathan Church	3/3	SEA @ STL	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Shea Langeliers	3/3	OAK @ TEX	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyler Soderstrom	3/3	OAK @ TEX	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Drake Baldwin	3/3	PHI @ ATL	H	1.3	1.4	1.1	0	WATCH	-0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3/3	CLE @ TOR	H	1.3	1.4	1.1	0	WATCH	-0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryce Harper	3/3	PHI @ ATL	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jo Adell	3/3	LAA @ KC	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Junior Caminero	3/3	MIN @ TB	RBI	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luke Keaschall ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ TB	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Valenzuela ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ TOR	H	0.3	0.4	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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