Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Apr 19 – Apr 25 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

51.7%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1217

MLB

Top Over

Adley Rutschman

RBI • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Brandon Lowe

HR • -0.5 • 73

Top Fade

Jung Hoo Lee

H • +0.8 • 25

Top 1

Adley Rutschman

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Ildemaro Vargas

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +2.0

Top 3

Adley Rutschman

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +2.0

Top 4

Coby Mayo

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +1.6

Top 5

Brooks Lee

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.6

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Ke'bryan Hayes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ CIN	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Luis Arraez	3/3	MIA @ SF	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nasim Nunez	3/3	WSH @ CWS	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Andrew Benintendi	3/3	WSH @ CWS	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brooks Lee	3/3	MIN @ TB	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Carter Jensen	3/3	LAA @ KC	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Connor Norby ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ SF	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Corey Seager	3/3	OAK @ TEX	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Curtis Mead ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ CWS	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Drake Baldwin	3/3	PHI @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Gunnar Henderson	3/3	BOS @ BAL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	CLE @ TOR	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ozzie Albies	3/3	PHI @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ryan Mcmahon	3/3	NYY @ HOU	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Spencer Steer	3/3	DET @ CIN	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Trea Turner	3/3	PHI @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	SD @ AZ	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Yainer Diaz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ HOU	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Drake Baldwin	3/3	PHI @ ATL	H	1.0	1.3	0.7	11	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Manny Machado	3/3	SD @ AZ	H	1.0	0.7	1.3	11	FADE OVER	+0.3	-0.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Munetaka Murakami	3/3	WSH @ CWS	RBI	1.0	1.3	0.7	11	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Sal Stewart	3/3	DET @ CIN	RBI	1.0	1.3	0.7	11	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Jake Cronenworth	3/3	SD @ AZ	H	1.0	0.5	1.1	10	FADE OVER	+0.5	-0.1	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Juan Brito ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ TOR	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.8	10	FADE OVER	+0.5	-0.1	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ryan Mcmahon	3/3	NYY @ HOU	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.8	10	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Otto Lopez	3/3	MIA @ SF	H	1.3	1.4	0.9	10	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.4	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Chase Meidroth	3/3	WSH @ CWS	H	1.0	1.2	0.7	9	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Freddie Freeman	3/3	CHC @ LAD	H	1.0	1.2	0.7	9	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Nolan Arenado	3/3	SD @ AZ	RBI	1.0	1.2	0.7	9	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Colt Keith	3/3	DET @ CIN	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Geraldo Perdomo	3/3	SD @ AZ	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jac Caglianone ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ KC	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Joey Ortiz	3/3	PIT @ MIL	H	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Joey Wiemer	3/3	WSH @ CWS	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Justin Crawford	3/3	PHI @ ATL	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Maikel Garcia ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	LAA @ KC	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Matt Wallner ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ TB	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Rob Refsnyder	3/3	SEA @ STL	H	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Rob Refsnyder	3/3	SEA @ STL	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Spencer Steer	3/3	DET @ CIN	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tyler Heineman	3/3	CLE @ TOR	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Xavier Edwards	3/3	MIA @ SF	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Andrew Mccutchen	3/3	OAK @ TEX	H	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Chandler Simpson	3/3	MIN @ TB	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Isiah Kiner-falefa ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BOS @ BAL	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ke'bryan Hayes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ CIN	H	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	CHC @ LAD	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Rafael Marchan ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ ATL	H	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Andy Ibanez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	OAK @ TEX	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bobby Witt Jr.	3/3	LAA @ KC	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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