Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

48.1%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1294

MLB

Top Over

Adley Rutschman

RBI • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

James Mccann

H • -1.5 • 87

Top Fade

Freddy Fermin

H • -0.8 • 28

Top 1

Adley Rutschman

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.7 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Ozzie Albies

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +2.0

Top 3

Jazz Chisholm Jr.

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.3

Top 4

Matt Olson

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.6

Top 5

Taylor Ward

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.6

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Adley Rutschman	3/3	BOS @ BAL	RBI	2.7	1.0	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.7	+2.0	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Ozzie Albies	3/3	PHI @ ATL	H	2.7	1.5	0.7	96	TOP OVER	+1.2	+2.0	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Jazz Chisholm Jr.	3/3	NYY @ HOU	RBI	2.0	0.6	0.7	96	TOP OVER	+1.4	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	Matt Olson	3/3	PHI @ ATL	H	2.3	1.2	0.7	95	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Taylor Ward	3/3	BOS @ BAL	H	2.3	1.2	0.7	95	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Mickey Moniak	3/3	COL @ NYM	H	2.3	1.4	0.7	90	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Adley Rutschman	3/3	BOS @ BAL	HR	1.0	0.3	0.5	89	TOP OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Nathaniel Lowe	3/3	DET @ CIN	HR	1.0	0.3	0.5	89	TOP OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	James Mccann ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ AZ	H	0.0	0.8	1.5	87	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-1.5	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Brett Baty	3/3	COL @ NYM	RBI	1.7	0.5	0.5	86	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Brooks Lee	3/3	MIN @ TB	H	2.0	1.0	0.7	86	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Ben Rice	3/3	NYY @ HOU	H	2.0	1.1	0.7	83	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jake Mangum	3/3	PIT @ MIL	H	0.0	0.9	1.3	83	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-1.3	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Spencer Torkelson	3/3	DET @ CIN	HR	1.0	0.4	0.5	83	TOP OVER	+0.6	+0.5	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Corey Seager	3/3	OAK @ TEX	H	2.0	1.0	0.8	82	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Dansby Swanson	3/3	CHC @ LAD	RBI	2.0	1.2	0.7	80	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Gavin Sheets	3/3	SD @ AZ	RBI	1.7	0.5	0.7	79	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Nolan Arenado	3/3	SD @ AZ	H	2.3	1.5	1.1	79	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jose Caballero	3/3	NYY @ HOU	H	2.3	1.6	0.7	77	OVER	+0.7	+1.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Willson Contreras	3/3	BOS @ BAL	RBI	1.7	0.6	0.7	77	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Nick Gonzales	3/3	PIT @ MIL	H	2.0	1.4	0.5	74	OVER	+0.6	+1.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Byron Buxton ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ TB	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Colson Montgomery	3/3	WSH @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Junior Caminero	3/3	MIN @ TB	HR	1.0	0.6	0.5	73	TOP OVER	+0.4	+0.5	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Michael Harris Ii	3/3	PHI @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Miguel Vargas	3/3	WSH @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Brandon Marsh	3/3	PHI @ ATL	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.8	71	TOP OVER	+1.0	+0.9	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Bryce Harper	3/3	PHI @ ATL	RBI	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jazz Chisholm Jr.	3/3	NYY @ HOU	H	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Michael Busch	3/3	CHC @ LAD	RBI	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Tj Rumfield	3/3	COL @ NYM	RBI	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Tj Rumfield	3/3	COL @ NYM	H	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3/3	CLE @ TOR	H	0.3	1.2	1.3	71	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-1.0	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Wilyer Abreu	3/3	BOS @ BAL	H	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Adley Rutschman	3/3	BOS @ BAL	H	2.0	1.3	0.7	70	OVER	+0.7	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Michael Harris Ii	3/3	PHI @ ATL	RBI	2.0	1.3	0.7	70	OVER	+0.7	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Aaron Judge	3/3	NYY @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Austin Riley	3/3	PHI @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Daylen Lile	3/3	WSH @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jose Ramirez	3/3	CLE @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Matt Olson	3/3	PHI @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Nico Hoerner	3/3	CHC @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Shea Langeliers	3/3	OAK @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Seiya Suzuki	3/3	CHC @ LAD	H	2.0	1.4	0.7	67	OVER	+0.6	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Brandon Marsh	3/3	PHI @ ATL	H	2.0	1.3	0.8	67	OVER	+0.7	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Matt Olson	3/3	PHI @ ATL	RBI	0.0	1.0	0.7	66	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Riley Greene	3/3	DET @ CIN	H	2.0	1.5	0.7	65	OVER	+0.5	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Marcell Ozuna	3/3	PIT @ MIL	H	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Rafael Devers	3/3	MIA @ SF	H	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jackson Merrill	3/3	SD @ AZ	H	0.3	0.7	1.7	63	UNDER	-0.4	-1.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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