Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Mar 29 – Apr 27 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

48%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

693

MLB

Top Over

Willson Contreras

RBI • +1.6 • 100

Top Under

Byron Buxton

HR • -0.5 • 73

Top Fade

Josh Jung

H • +0.6 • 21

Top 1

Willson Contreras

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +1.6

Top 2

Vaughn Grissom

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 86 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.3

Top 3

Andres Gimenez

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 83 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.3

Top 4

Nathan Church

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 83 | Trend: +0.6 | Edge: +0.5

Top 5

Angel Martinez

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 77 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.0

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Sam Antonacci	3/3	LAA @ CWS	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nick Yorke ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	1.0	22	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Alex Bregman	3/3	CHC @ SD	H	0.7	1.1	0.7	22	UNDER	-0.4	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Liam Hicks	3/3	MIA @ LAD	H	0.7	1.1	0.7	22	UNDER	-0.4	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Shohei Ohtani	3/3	MIA @ LAD	H	1.3	0.9	1.3	22	OVER	+0.4	+0.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Yandy Diaz	3/3	TB @ CLE	H	1.0	1.1	1.3	22	UNDER	-0.1	-0.3	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Fernando Tatis Jr.	3/3	CHC @ SD	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Junior Caminero	3/3	TB @ CLE	RBI	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Josh Jung	3/3	NYY @ TEX	H	1.3	1.6	0.7	21	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.6	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Kyle Tucker	3/3	MIA @ LAD	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Masyn Winn	3/3	STL @ PIT	H	1.3	1.5	0.7	19	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.6	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Alex Bregman	3/3	CHC @ SD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Austin Wells ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ TEX	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Caleb Durbin	3/3	BOS @ TOR	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Carlos Narvaez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BOS @ TOR	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Cole Young	3/3	SEA @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Connor Norby	3/3	MIA @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
David Fry	3/3	TB @ CLE	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Graham Pauley ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIA @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Josh Naylor ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Julio Rodriguez	3/3	SEA @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Konnor Griffin	3/3	STL @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Max Muncy ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Pedro Pages ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Royce Lewis ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Shohei Ohtani	3/3	MIA @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Will Smith ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIA @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Wilyer Abreu	3/3	BOS @ TOR	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Yandy Diaz	3/3	TB @ CLE	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Joey Bart ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	STL @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Josh Naylor ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brayan Rocchio	3/3	TB @ CLE	H	1.3	1.4	0.7	16	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.6	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Chase Meidroth	3/3	LAA @ CWS	H	1.0	1.4	0.7	14	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Aaron Judge	3/3	NYY @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Burleson	3/3	STL @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alex Bregman	3/3	CHC @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alex Freeland	3/3	MIA @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andres Gimenez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BOS @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andrew Benintendi	3/3	LAA @ CWS	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andrew Mccutchen	3/3	NYY @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andy Pages	3/3	MIA @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Angel Martinez	3/3	TB @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Hedges ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Wells ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ben Rice	3/3	NYY @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ben Williamson	3/3	TB @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Lowe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Nimmo	3/3	NYY @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brayan Rocchio	3/3	TB @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brooks Lee	3/3	SEA @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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