Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Apr 27 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

37.5%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

693

MLB

Top Over

Willson Contreras

RBI • +1.6 • 100

Top Under

Byron Buxton

HR • -0.5 • 73

Top Fade

Josh Jung

H • +0.6 • 21

Top 1

Willson Contreras

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +1.6

Top 2

Vaughn Grissom

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 86 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.3

Top 3

Andres Gimenez

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 83 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.3

Top 4

Nathan Church

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 83 | Trend: +0.6 | Edge: +0.5

Top 5

Angel Martinez

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 77 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.0

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Oneil Cruz ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	STL @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Danny Jansen	3/3	NYY @ TEX	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Danny Jansen	3/3	NYY @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
David Fry	3/3	TB @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Evan Carter	3/3	NYY @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Freddy Fermin	3/3	CHC @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Henry Davis ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ PIT	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Henry Davis ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Cronenworth	3/3	CHC @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Mangum	3/3	STL @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mitch Garver	3/3	SEA @ MIN	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mitch Garver	3/3	SEA @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Gonzales	3/3	STL @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Spencer Horwitz	3/3	STL @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Teoscar Hernandez	3/3	MIA @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tristan Peters	3/3	LAA @ CWS	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Victor Caratini ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SEA @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Daniel Schneemann	3/3	TB @ CLE	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Everson Pereira	3/3	LAA @ CWS	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Ivan Herrera	3/3	STL @ PIT	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Josh Jung	3/3	NYY @ TEX	RBI	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Masyn Winn	3/3	STL @ PIT	RBI	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Miguel Vargas	3/3	LAA @ CWS	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Ryan O'hearn	3/3	STL @ PIT	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Austin Wells ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ TEX	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Marcelo Mayer	3/3	BOS @ TOR	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Max Muncy ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ OAK	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ty France ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ SD	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Xavier Edwards	3/3	MIA @ LAD	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nick Gonzales	3/3	STL @ PIT	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Teoscar Hernandez	3/3	MIA @ LAD	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Junior Caminero	3/3	TB @ CLE	H	1.0	1.3	1.1	1	WATCH	-0.3	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
David Fry	3/3	TB @ CLE	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Josh Naylor ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ MIN	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.8	1	WATCH	+0.3	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tristan Peters	3/3	LAA @ CWS	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nico Hoerner	3/3	CHC @ SD	H	1.3	1.2	1.1	1	WATCH	+0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Danny Jansen	3/3	NYY @ TEX	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Cronenworth	3/3	CHC @ SD	H	0.7	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Paul Goldschmidt ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYY @ TEX	H	0.7	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Chandler Simpson	3/3	TB @ CLE	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ernie Clement	3/3	BOS @ TOR	H	1.3	1.6	1.3	0	WATCH	-0.3	+0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jo Adell	3/3	LAA @ CWS	RBI	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	CHC @ SD	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Freddy Fermin	3/3	CHC @ SD	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ben Williamson	3/3	TB @ CLE	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryce Teodosio	3/3	LAA @ CWS	H	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Hyeseong Kim	3/3	MIA @ LAD	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Juan Brito ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ CLE	H	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Leo Rivas	3/3	SEA @ MIN	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Pedro Pages ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ PIT	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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