Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Apr 28 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1270

MLB

Top Over

Willson Contreras

RBI • +1.6 • 100

Top Under

James Wood

HR • -0.5 • 78

Top Fade

Dane Myers

H • -0.8 • 28

Top 1

Willson Contreras

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +1.6

Top 2

Nathaniel Lowe

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +0.8

Top 3

Samuel Basallo

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Jung Hoo Lee

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 97 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +2.3

Top 5

Andres Gimenez

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Miguel Vargas	3/3	LAA @ CWS	H	0.7	1.1	0.7	22	UNDER	-0.4	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ben Rice	3/3	NYY @ TEX	RBI	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Bryson Stott	3/3	SF @ PHI	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Byron Buxton ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ MIN	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Carlos Narvaez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ TOR	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Isaac Paredes	3/3	HOU @ BAL	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jakob Marsee	3/3	MIA @ LAD	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jonathan Aranda	3/3	TB @ CLE	RBI	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Liam Hicks ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ LAD	RBI	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Marcelo Mayer	3/3	BOS @ TOR	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Matt Mclain	3/3	COL @ CIN	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Michael Massey	3/3	KC @ OAK	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Tristan Peters	3/3	LAA @ CWS	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Carlos Correa	3/3	HOU @ BAL	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Bo Bichette	3/3	WSH @ NYM	H	1.3	1.0	1.3	20	OVER	+0.3	+0.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Michael Harris Ii	3/3	DET @ ATL	H	1.0	1.6	0.7	19	FADE UNDER	-0.6	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Ildemaro Vargas	3/3	AZ @ MIL	RBI	1.3	1.5	0.7	19	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.6	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Austin Wells ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ TEX	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bobby Witt Jr.	3/3	KC @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brady House	3/3	WSH @ NYM	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brett Baty	3/3	WSH @ NYM	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Caleb Durbin	3/3	BOS @ TOR	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Carlos Correa	3/3	HOU @ BAL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Carson Benge	3/3	WSH @ NYM	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Cole Young	3/3	SEA @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Darell Hernaiz	3/3	KC @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Dylan Beavers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ BAL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Gleyber Torres ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Graham Pauley ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Isaac Collins	3/3	KC @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Javier Baez	3/3	DET @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jo Adell	3/3	LAA @ CWS	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Joc Pederson	3/3	NYY @ TEX	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jose Fernandez	3/3	AZ @ MIL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jose Tena ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	WSH @ NYM	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Josh Naylor ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Julio Rodriguez	3/3	SEA @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jung Hoo Lee	3/3	SF @ PHI	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kevin Mcgonigle	3/3	DET @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kody Clemens	3/3	SEA @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Isbel ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Max Muncy ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Max Muncy ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ronald Acuna Jr.	3/3	DET @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Royce Lewis ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Trea Turner	3/3	SF @ PHI	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tyler Soderstrom	3/3	KC @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Will Smith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Yandy Diaz	3/3	TB @ CLE	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Zack Gelof	3/3	KC @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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