Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1270

MLB

Top Over

Willson Contreras

RBI • +1.6 • 100

Top Under

James Wood

HR • -0.5 • 78

Top Fade

Dane Myers

H • -0.8 • 28

Top 1

Willson Contreras

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +1.6

Top 2

Nathaniel Lowe

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +0.8

Top 3

Samuel Basallo

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Jung Hoo Lee

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 97 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +2.3

Top 5

Andres Gimenez

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Cal Raleigh	3/3	SEA @ MIN	HR	0.7	0.5	0.5	30	OVER	+0.2	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Hunter Goodman	3/3	COL @ CIN	HR	0.7	0.5	0.5	30	OVER	+0.2	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Seiya Suzuki	3/3	CHC @ SD	HR	0.7	0.5	0.5	30	OVER	+0.2	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Keibert Ruiz ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	WSH @ NYM	H	0.3	0.5	0.8	29	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Rhys Hoskins	3/3	TB @ CLE	H	0.3	0.5	0.8	29	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Daulton Varsho	3/3	BOS @ TOR	H	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Garrett Mitchell	3/3	AZ @ MIL	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
George Valera	3/3	TB @ CLE	H	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jeremiah Jackson	3/3	HOU @ BAL	H	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Joc Pederson	3/3	NYY @ TEX	H	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jose Tena ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	WSH @ NYM	H	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Konnor Griffin	3/3	STL @ PIT	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Miguel Vargas	3/3	LAA @ CWS	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Mike Yastrzemski ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ ATL	H	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Sam Antonacci	3/3	LAA @ CWS	H	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Steven Kwan	3/3	TB @ CLE	H	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jorbit Vivas	3/3	WSH @ NYM	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Luis Garcia Jr.	3/3	WSH @ NYM	H	1.0	0.9	0.5	29	OVER	+0.1	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Will Benson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ CIN	H	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Dane Myers	3/3	COL @ CIN	H	0.7	0.4	1.5	28	FADE OVER	+0.3	-0.8	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brayan Rocchio	3/3	TB @ CLE	H	0.7	1.3	0.7	28	UNDER	-0.6	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Gavin Sheets	3/3	CHC @ SD	H	1.0	0.7	0.7	27	OVER	+0.3	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jo Adell	3/3	LAA @ CWS	H	1.0	0.7	0.7	27	OVER	+0.3	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Josh Lowe	3/3	LAA @ CWS	H	1.0	0.7	0.7	27	OVER	+0.3	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Josh Smith	3/3	NYY @ TEX	H	1.0	0.7	0.7	27	OVER	+0.3	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Isbel ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ OAK	H	1.0	0.7	0.7	27	OVER	+0.3	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Mark Vientos	3/3	WSH @ NYM	H	1.0	0.7	0.7	27	OVER	+0.3	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Mauricio Dubon	3/3	DET @ ATL	H	1.0	0.7	0.7	27	OVER	+0.3	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Salvador Perez	3/3	KC @ OAK	RBI	1.0	0.7	0.7	27	OVER	+0.3	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Vinnie Pasquantino	3/3	KC @ OAK	H	1.0	0.7	0.7	27	OVER	+0.3	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Vinnie Pasquantino	3/3	KC @ OAK	RBI	1.0	0.7	0.7	27	OVER	+0.3	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Elly De La Cruz	3/3	COL @ CIN	H	1.3	1.1	1.0	27	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Aaron Judge	3/3	NYY @ TEX	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Adam Frazier	3/3	LAA @ CWS	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Adley Rutschman	3/3	HOU @ BAL	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Adolis Garcia	3/3	SF @ PHI	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Alec Bohm	3/3	SF @ PHI	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Alek Thomas	3/3	AZ @ MIL	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Alex Bregman	3/3	CHC @ SD	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Alex Freeland	3/3	MIA @ LAD	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Andrew Benintendi	3/3	LAA @ CWS	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Andy Pages	3/3	MIA @ LAD	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Austin Riley	3/3	DET @ ATL	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Austin Wells ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ TEX	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Ben Rice	3/3	NYY @ TEX	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Ben Williamson	3/3	TB @ CLE	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Bo Bichette	3/3	WSH @ NYM	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Bo Naylor ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ CLE	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Brady House	3/3	WSH @ NYM	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Brandon Lockridge ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ MIL	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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