Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

20%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1288

MLB

Top Over

Ty France

RBI • +1.8 • 100

Top Under

Ernie Clement

H • -1.0 • 77

Top Fade

Nolan Arenado

H • +0.8 • 25

Top 1

Ty France

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +1.8

Top 2

Samuel Basallo

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +2.0

Top 3

Ty France

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

Shea Langeliers

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 90 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Aaron Judge

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 86 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Dustin Harris ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ BAL	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Trevor Larnach	3/3	SEA @ MIN	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Alek Thomas	3/3	AZ @ MIL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brooks Lee ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Drew Gilbert	3/3	SF @ PHI	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Eli White ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Gavin Sheets	3/3	CHC @ SD	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jac Caglianone	3/3	KC @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jake Fraley ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ CLE	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jesus Sanchez	3/3	BOS @ TOR	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jorge Soler	3/3	LAA @ CWS	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Josh Lowe	3/3	LAA @ CWS	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Josh Naylor	3/3	SEA @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Juan Soto	3/3	WSH @ NYM	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Konnor Griffin	3/3	STL @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Liam Hicks ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Mike Trout	3/3	LAA @ CWS	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ozzie Albies	3/3	DET @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Pete Alonso	3/3	HOU @ BAL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ryan O'hearn	3/3	STL @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Sal Stewart	3/3	COL @ CIN	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Spencer Steer	3/3	COL @ CIN	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	CHC @ SD	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Yainer Diaz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ BAL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ketel Marte	3/3	AZ @ MIL	H	0.7	1.1	0.5	11	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Munetaka Murakami	3/3	LAA @ CWS	H	1.0	1.3	0.7	11	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Troy Johnston ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ CIN	H	1.0	1.3	0.7	11	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Colson Montgomery	3/3	LAA @ CWS	H	1.0	1.2	0.7	9	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Heliot Ramos	3/3	SF @ PHI	H	1.0	1.2	0.7	9	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Taylor Ward	3/3	HOU @ BAL	H	1.0	1.2	0.7	9	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Alec Bohm	3/3	SF @ PHI	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Alex Bregman	3/3	CHC @ SD	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bryson Stott	3/3	SF @ PHI	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Freddy Fermin ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ SD	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jackson Merrill	3/3	CHC @ SD	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Joc Pederson	3/3	NYY @ TEX	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Luis Arraez	3/3	SF @ PHI	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Owen Caissie	3/3	MIA @ LAD	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Roman Anthony	3/3	BOS @ TOR	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tyler Heineman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ TOR	H	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Willi Castro ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ CIN	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
George Springer ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BOS @ TOR	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.8	8	FADE OVER	+0.4	-0.1	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ivan Herrera	3/3	STL @ PIT	H	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Jac Caglianone	3/3	KC @ OAK	H	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Spencer Horwitz	3/3	STL @ PIT	H	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Max Muncy	3/3	MIA @ LAD	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Shohei Ohtani	3/3	MIA @ LAD	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Cam Smith	3/3	HOU @ BAL	H	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Dustin Harris ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ BAL	H	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Dylan Beavers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ BAL	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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