Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

20%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1288

MLB

Top Over

Ty France

RBI • +1.8 • 100

Top Under

Ernie Clement

H • -1.0 • 77

Top Fade

Nolan Arenado

H • +0.8 • 25

Top 1

Ty France

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +1.8

Top 2

Samuel Basallo

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +2.0

Top 3

Ty France

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

Shea Langeliers

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 90 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Aaron Judge

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 86 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Ramon Laureano	3/3	CHC @ SD	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Andruw Monasterio ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BOS @ TOR	H	1.3	0.9	0.5	48	OVER	+0.4	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ronald Acuna Jr.	3/3	DET @ ATL	H	1.3	0.9	0.5	48	OVER	+0.4	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Spencer Torkelson	3/3	DET @ ATL	H	1.3	0.9	0.5	48	OVER	+0.4	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Will Smith	3/3	MIA @ LAD	H	1.3	0.9	0.5	48	OVER	+0.4	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Cole Young	3/3	SEA @ MIN	H	1.7	1.4	0.7	48	OVER	+0.3	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Dalton Rushing	3/3	MIA @ LAD	RBI	0.3	1.2	0.8	47	UNDER	-0.9	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jose Caballero	3/3	NYY @ TEX	H	0.3	1.3	0.7	47	UNDER	-1.0	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Daylen Lile	3/3	WSH @ NYM	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.5	47	UNDER	-0.8	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Luis Garcia ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ NYM	H	0.0	0.8	0.5	47	UNDER	-0.8	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Austin Wells ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ TEX	H	1.3	0.7	0.7	47	OVER	+0.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Josh Lowe	3/3	LAA @ CWS	H	1.3	0.7	0.7	47	OVER	+0.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ryan Jeffers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ MIN	H	1.3	0.7	0.7	47	OVER	+0.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Austin Wells ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ TEX	HR	0.7	0.2	0.5	46	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Bobby Witt Jr.	3/3	KC @ OAK	HR	0.7	0.2	0.5	46	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Manny Machado ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ SD	HR	0.7	0.2	0.5	46	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Corey Seager	3/3	NYY @ TEX	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Evan Carter	3/3	NYY @ TEX	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jeremiah Jackson	3/3	HOU @ BAL	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Trent Grisham	3/3	NYY @ TEX	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Willy Adames ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ PHI	H	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nathaniel Lowe	3/3	COL @ CIN	H	1.3	1.0	0.5	45	OVER	+0.3	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Josh Naylor	3/3	SEA @ MIN	H	1.7	1.5	0.7	45	OVER	+0.2	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Brayan Rocchio	3/3	TB @ CLE	H	0.3	1.2	0.7	44	UNDER	-0.9	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brent Rooker	3/3	KC @ OAK	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.5	44	UNDER	-0.7	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brice Turang	3/3	AZ @ MIL	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.5	44	UNDER	-0.7	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Dillon Dingler ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ ATL	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.5	44	UNDER	-0.7	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Javier Baez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ ATL	H	0.0	0.7	0.5	44	UNDER	-0.7	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Isaac Paredes	3/3	HOU @ BAL	RBI	1.3	0.8	0.7	44	OVER	+0.5	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Josh Naylor	3/3	SEA @ MIN	RBI	1.3	0.8	0.7	44	OVER	+0.5	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Alex Freeland	3/3	MIA @ LAD	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Cedric Mullins	3/3	TB @ CLE	H	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Chase Delauter	3/3	TB @ CLE	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Connor Norby	3/3	MIA @ LAD	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Edgar Quero ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ CWS	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Hyeseong Kim	3/3	MIA @ LAD	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jake Cronenworth	3/3	CHC @ SD	H	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jakob Marsee	3/3	MIA @ LAD	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Leo Rivas	3/3	SEA @ MIN	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Matt Chapman	3/3	SF @ PHI	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nick Gonzales	3/3	STL @ PIT	H	2.0	1.7	1.2	43	OVER	+0.3	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Randy Arozarena	3/3	SEA @ MIN	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tyler Freeman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ CIN	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Matt Olson	3/3	DET @ ATL	RBI	1.3	1.1	0.5	43	OVER	+0.2	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Junior Caminero	3/3	TB @ CLE	H	0.3	1.1	0.7	42	UNDER	-0.8	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Xavier Edwards	3/3	MIA @ LAD	H	0.3	1.1	0.7	42	UNDER	-0.8	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Adrian Del Castillo	3/3	AZ @ MIL	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.5	42	UNDER	-0.6	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Adrian Del Castillo	3/3	AZ @ MIL	H	0.0	0.6	0.5	42	UNDER	-0.6	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Corbin Carroll	3/3	AZ @ MIL	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.5	42	UNDER	-0.6	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
David Hamilton	3/3	AZ @ MIL	RBI	1.0	0.4	0.5	42	OVER	+0.6	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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