Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Mar 31 – Apr 29 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

44.2%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1288

MLB

Top Over

Ty France

RBI • +1.8 • 100

Top Under

Ernie Clement

H • -1.0 • 77

Top Fade

Nolan Arenado

H • +0.8 • 25

Top 1

Ty France

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +1.8

Top 2

Samuel Basallo

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +2.0

Top 3

Ty France

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

Shea Langeliers

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 90 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Aaron Judge

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 86 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Carson Kelly ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CHC @ SD	H	0.7	1.1	0.7	22	UNDER	-0.4	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Chase Meidroth	3/3	LAA @ CWS	H	0.7	1.1	0.7	22	UNDER	-0.4	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Dansby Swanson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ SD	RBI	0.7	1.1	0.7	22	UNDER	-0.4	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Liam Hicks ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ LAD	H	0.7	1.1	0.7	22	UNDER	-0.4	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Miguel Vargas	3/3	LAA @ CWS	H	0.7	1.1	0.7	22	UNDER	-0.4	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Angel Martinez	3/3	TB @ CLE	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Isaac Paredes	3/3	HOU @ BAL	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jonathan Aranda	3/3	TB @ CLE	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Liam Hicks ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ LAD	RBI	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	STL @ PIT	H	0.7	0.7	1.0	22	UNDER	0.0	-0.3	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Masyn Winn	3/3	STL @ PIT	H	0.7	1.5	0.5	21	FADE UNDER	-0.8	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Michael Harris Ii	3/3	DET @ ATL	H	1.0	1.4	0.5	20	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Hunter Goodman	3/3	COL @ CIN	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Adley Rutschman	3/3	HOU @ BAL	H	1.3	1.5	0.7	19	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.6	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Julio Rodriguez	3/3	SEA @ MIN	H	1.3	1.5	0.7	19	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.6	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Riley Greene	3/3	DET @ ATL	H	1.0	1.3	0.5	18	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Bo Bichette	3/3	WSH @ NYM	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brice Matthews	3/3	HOU @ BAL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Carlos Correa	3/3	HOU @ BAL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Dylan Beavers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ BAL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Gleyber Torres	3/3	DET @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Graham Pauley ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Isaac Collins	3/3	KC @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Joc Pederson	3/3	NYY @ TEX	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jose Fernandez	3/3	AZ @ MIL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kevin Mcgonigle	3/3	DET @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kody Clemens	3/3	SEA @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Max Muncy	3/3	MIA @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nolan Gorman	3/3	STL @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	CHC @ SD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Sal Frelick	3/3	AZ @ MIL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Shohei Ohtani	3/3	MIA @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Victor Scott Ii	3/3	STL @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Wenceel Perez	3/3	DET @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Yandy Diaz	3/3	TB @ CLE	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ceddanne Rafaela ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Davis Schneider ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ TOR	H	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Seiya Suzuki ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ SD	H	1.3	1.4	0.7	16	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.6	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Michael Harris Ii	3/3	DET @ ATL	RBI	0.7	1.2	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.5	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Nathan Church	3/3	STL @ PIT	H	1.0	1.1	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Ryan O'hearn	3/3	STL @ PIT	H	1.0	1.1	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Aaron Judge	3/3	NYY @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alex Bregman	3/3	CHC @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ben Rice	3/3	NYY @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Nimmo	3/3	NYY @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brenton Doyle	3/3	COL @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryce Harper	3/3	SF @ PHI	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Byron Buxton	3/3	SEA @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carson Kelly ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CHC @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Christian Walker	3/3	HOU @ BAL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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