Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

66.7%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1270

MLB

Top Over

Alec Burleson

RBI • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Spencer Torkelson

HR • -0.5 • 78

Top Fade

Nick Gonzales

H • +0.5 • 26

Top 1

Alec Burleson

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.7 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Jordan Walker

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Brice Turang

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 92 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

Cj Abrams

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Pete Crow-armstrong

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Alec Burleson	3/3	LAD @ STL	RBI	2.7	1.0	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.7	+2.0	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Jordan Walker	3/3	LAD @ STL	RBI	2.3	0.7	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.6	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Brice Turang	3/3	MIL @ WSH	H	2.0	1.0	0.5	92	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	Cj Abrams	3/3	MIL @ WSH	H	2.0	0.8	0.7	91	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	AZ @ CHC	RBI	2.0	0.8	0.7	91	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Christian Walker	3/3	HOU @ BOS	H	2.3	1.4	0.5	90	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Shea Langeliers	3/3	CLE @ OAK	H	2.3	1.5	0.7	88	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	William Contreras	3/3	MIL @ WSH	RBI	2.0	0.9	0.7	88	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Trea Turner ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ MIA	H	2.3	1.1	1.2	86	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.1	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Alec Burleson	3/3	LAD @ STL	H	2.0	1.0	0.7	86	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Ryan Jeffers	3/3	TOR @ MIN	H	2.0	1.0	0.7	86	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Ryan Vilade ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SF @ TB	H	2.0	1.1	0.7	83	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Juan Soto	3/3	NYM @ LAA	H	2.0	1.2	0.7	80	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Christian Walker	3/3	HOU @ BOS	RBI	1.7	0.8	0.5	78	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Spencer Torkelson	3/3	TEX @ DET	HR	0.0	0.5	0.5	78	TOP UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Manny Machado ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ SD	RBI	1.7	0.6	0.7	77	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Geraldo Perdomo	3/3	AZ @ CHC	H	0.0	1.3	0.7	74	TOP UNDER	-1.3	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Cj Abrams	3/3	MIL @ WSH	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Ty France	3/3	CWS @ SD	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Ildemaro Vargas	3/3	AZ @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Junior Caminero	3/3	SF @ TB	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Nathan Church	3/3	LAD @ STL	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ildemaro Vargas	3/3	AZ @ CHC	RBI	0.0	1.2	0.7	72	TOP UNDER	-1.2	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Cole Young	3/3	KC @ SEA	RBI	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Byron Buxton	3/3	TOR @ MIN	H	2.0	1.3	0.7	70	OVER	+0.7	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	William Contreras	3/3	MIL @ WSH	H	2.0	1.1	1.1	70	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.9	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Sal Stewart	3/3	CIN @ PIT	RBI	0.0	1.1	0.7	69	TOP UNDER	-1.1	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Angel Martinez	3/3	CLE @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Coby Mayo	3/3	BAL @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	James Wood	3/3	MIL @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Mickey Moniak	3/3	ATL @ COL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Nick Kurtz	3/3	CLE @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Alek Thomas	3/3	AZ @ CHC	H	0.0	1.0	0.7	66	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Michael Busch	3/3	AZ @ CHC	H	0.0	1.0	0.7	66	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Adley Rutschman	3/3	BAL @ NYY	RBI	2.0	1.5	0.7	65	OVER	+0.5	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Nick Castellanos	3/3	CWS @ SD	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.7	63	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jung Hoo Lee	3/3	SF @ TB	H	2.0	1.6	0.7	62	OVER	+0.4	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jordan Walker	3/3	LAD @ STL	H	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Kyle Schwarber	3/3	PHI @ MIA	H	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Michael Busch	3/3	AZ @ CHC	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Nolan Gorman	3/3	LAD @ STL	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Aaron Judge	3/3	BAL @ NYY	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Chase Delauter	3/3	CLE @ OAK	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Maikel Garcia	3/3	KC @ SEA	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Manny Machado ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ SD	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Austin Riley	3/3	ATL @ COL	H	0.0	0.2	1.3	57	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Michael Harris Ii	3/3	ATL @ COL	RBI	0.0	1.1	0.5	55	UNDER	-1.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Alek Thomas	3/3	AZ @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Amed Rosario ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BAL @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Brandon Marsh	3/3	PHI @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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