Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Apr 25 – May 1 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

46.8%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1270

MLB

Top Over

Alec Burleson

RBI • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Spencer Torkelson

HR • -0.5 • 78

Top Fade

Nick Gonzales

H • +0.5 • 26

Top 1

Alec Burleson

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.7 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Jordan Walker

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Brice Turang

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 92 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

Cj Abrams

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Pete Crow-armstrong

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Josh Lowe	3/3	NYM @ LAA	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Konnor Griffin	3/3	CIN @ PIT	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Manzardo	3/3	CLE @ OAK	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Michael Massey	3/3	KC @ SEA	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Mike Trout	3/3	NYM @ LAA	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Pedro Pages ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ STL	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Victor Caratini ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ MIN	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3/3	TOR @ MIN	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Willy Adames	3/3	SF @ TB	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Zach Neto	3/3	NYM @ LAA	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Heliot Ramos	3/3	SF @ TB	H	0.7	1.2	0.7	25	UNDER	-0.5	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jose Caballero	3/3	BAL @ NYY	H	0.7	1.2	0.7	25	UNDER	-0.5	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Joey Ortiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ WSH	H	0.7	0.3	0.5	25	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Andrew Benintendi	3/3	CWS @ SD	RBI	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Carson Benge	3/3	NYM @ LAA	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Casey Schmitt	3/3	SF @ TB	RBI	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Dansby Swanson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ CHC	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Dillon Dingler	3/3	TEX @ DET	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Drake Baldwin	3/3	ATL @ COL	H	1.0	1.2	1.3	25	UNDER	-0.2	-0.3	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jo Adell	3/3	NYM @ LAA	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Tucker	3/3	LAD @ STL	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Will Smith	3/3	LAD @ STL	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Adley Rutschman	3/3	BAL @ NYY	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Colson Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ SD	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Elly De La Cruz	3/3	CIN @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jj Wetherholt	3/3	LAD @ STL	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jonathan Aranda	3/3	SF @ TB	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Matt Olson	3/3	ATL @ COL	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Miguel Vargas	3/3	CWS @ SD	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Yordan Alvarez	3/3	HOU @ BOS	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Adam Frazier	3/3	NYM @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Bohm	3/3	PHI @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alejandro Osuna	3/3	TEX @ DET	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andres Gimenez	3/3	TOR @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andy Pages	3/3	LAD @ STL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Martin	3/3	TOR @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Riley	3/3	ATL @ COL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ben Williamson	3/3	SF @ TB	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Lockridge ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIL @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Nimmo	3/3	TEX @ DET	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brayan Rocchio	3/3	CLE @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brice Turang	3/3	MIL @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	CIN @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryson Stott	3/3	PHI @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ceddanne Rafaela ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Chandler Simpson	3/3	SF @ TB	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Chase Delauter	3/3	CLE @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Chase Meidroth	3/3	CWS @ SD	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cody Bellinger	3/3	BAL @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Danny Jansen ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ DET	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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