Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Apr 25 – May 1 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

46.8%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1270

MLB

Top Over

Alec Burleson

RBI • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Spencer Torkelson

HR • -0.5 • 78

Top Fade

Nick Gonzales

H • +0.5 • 26

Top 1

Alec Burleson

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.7 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Jordan Walker

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Brice Turang

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 92 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

Cj Abrams

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Pete Crow-armstrong

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Cam Smith	3/3	HOU @ BOS	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Gonzales	3/3	CIN @ PIT	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyrone Taylor	3/3	NYM @ LAA	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Hays	3/3	CWS @ SD	H	1.0	0.8	0.8	2	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Arraez	3/3	SF @ TB	H	1.0	1.3	1.1	1	WATCH	-0.3	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carlos Narvaez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ BOS	H	0.7	0.9	0.5	1	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jorge Mateo	3/3	ATL @ COL	H	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Freddie Freeman	3/3	LAD @ STL	H	0.7	0.8	0.9	1	WATCH	-0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ceddanne Rafaela ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ BOS	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Drew Millas ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ WSH	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Rogers ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TEX @ DET	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Teoscar Hernandez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ STL	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Trent Grisham	3/3	BAL @ NYY	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yainer Diaz	3/3	HOU @ BOS	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Teoscar Hernandez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ STL	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Caleb Durbin	3/3	HOU @ BOS	H	0.7	0.8	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Chandler Simpson	3/3	SF @ TB	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
David Hamilton	3/3	MIL @ WSH	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Gleyber Torres	3/3	TEX @ DET	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ivan Herrera	3/3	LAD @ STL	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Josh Jung	3/3	TEX @ DET	RBI	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mark Vientos ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYM @ LAA	H	0.7	0.8	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Kurtz	3/3	CLE @ OAK	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ozzie Albies	3/3	ATL @ COL	H	1.3	1.6	1.3	0	WATCH	-0.3	+0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Paul Goldschmidt ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BAL @ NYY	H	0.7	0.5	0.8	0	WATCH	+0.2	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	AZ @ CHC	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ryan O'hearn	3/3	CIN @ PIT	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Shohei Ohtani	3/3	LAD @ STL	H	1.0	0.8	1.1	0	WATCH	+0.2	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Trevor Story	3/3	HOU @ BOS	H	0.7	0.8	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Wenceel Perez	3/3	TEX @ DET	H	0.7	0.5	0.8	0	WATCH	+0.2	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Roman Anthony	3/3	HOU @ BOS	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Adam Frazier	3/3	NYM @ LAA	H	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	CIN @ PIT	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Darell Hernaiz	3/3	CLE @ OAK	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
David Hamilton	3/3	MIL @ WSH	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ernie Clement ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ MIN	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ezequiel Tovar	3/3	ATL @ COL	H	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Mccarthy ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ COL	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Arraez	3/3	SF @ TB	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Miguel Rojas ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ STL	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Rafael Devers	3/3	SF @ TB	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Trea Turner ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ MIA	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryce Harper	3/3	PHI @ MIA	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Colson Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ SD	RBI	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jeff Mcneil	3/3	CLE @ OAK	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jonathan Aranda	3/3	SF @ TB	RBI	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Marcus Semien	3/3	NYM @ LAA	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nathan Church	3/3	LAD @ STL	RBI	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tristan Peters	3/3	CWS @ SD	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Caleb Durbin	3/3	HOU @ BOS	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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